There are two essential conditions for a real interest rate cut:

1⃣️ Prices must stop rising, inflation must be controlled, and only then will the Federal Reserve consider cutting interest rates.

2⃣️ The economic situation must be so bad that it is on the verge of collapse, and only then will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates to save the economy.

Therefore, the likelihood of an interest rate cut in May is almost zero, and tariff policies could disrupt things at any time. Unless inflation completely cools down or the economic situation becomes extremely dire, an interest rate cut is an unrealistic fantasy. The 'understanding king' shouts every day on social media, 'There is no inflation, Federal Reserve, hurry up and cut rates!' After all, cutting rates can stimulate the economy and boost the stock market, which are key indicators of his achievements.

On May 7, Ethereum will undergo a significant upgrade, but current market sentiment is not high. Looking at past upgrade experiences, prices often rise before falling; after the last upgrade, the price halved from $4000. However, this time we cannot completely rule out the possibility of rising before falling.