$ETH ETH/USDT Swing Trade Analysis (Professional Breakdown) May 5, 2025

1. Market Structure & Trend:

• 1D: Ranging (between $1,781.85 support and $1,842.15 resistance).

• 4H: Neutral with slight bearish bias (price below MA(20) at $1,819.19).

• 1H: Short-term bullish momentum (price reclaiming MA(20) but lacks volume confirmation.

2. Key Levels:

• Support: $1,781.85 (24h low), $1,700.55 (MA(200) on 4H).

• Resistance: $1,842.15 (24h high), $1,873.17 (local high).

3. Chart Patterns:

• Descending Channel (4H): Lower highs and lows since $1,873.17. Break above $1,842 needed for bullish reversal.

4. Indicators:

• RSI: 45 (neutral, no divergence).

• MACD: Histogram flattening near zero (weak momentum).

• Volume: Declining (lack of conviction).

• MAs: MA(20) below MA(200) on 1D (bearish bias).

5. Trade Plan:

• Entry: $1,785–$1,795 (support retest with RSI >30).

• Stop-Loss: $1,770 (below recent swing low).

• Take-Profit: $1,842 (first target), $1,873 (second target).

• RRR: 1:3 (risk $15, reward $45).

6. Risk Management:

• Position size: 2% capital per trade.

• Avoid if volume remains weak at key levels.

7. Reversal Signals:

• Bullish: Break above $1,842 with volume.

• Bearish: Close below $1,781.85 (target $1,700).

Conclusion: Wait for confirmation at key levels. Favor short-term longs near support with tight stops.

Note: Crypto trades require monitoring; adjust for volatility. Not financial advice.