Based on the technical charts analyzed according to the correct timeframes, the following article provides a comprehensive view of the price action of the SOL/USDT pair, helping investors clearly identify the trend and establish a suitable trading strategy.
1. Technical overview across timeframes
1-hour frame:
EMA: EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99) → Positive short-term trend, however, EMA(99) at 147.24 remains an important resistance area.
RSI: RSI(6) = 62.83 (approaching overbought area) → Warning of potential correction.
MACD: DIF crosses above DEA, but MACD is slightly positive (0.24) → Buy signal is still weak.
Volume: Clearly decreased compared to MA(5) and MA(15) → Lack of price pushing force.
15M frame:
EMA: Upward structure remains intact (EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99)).
RSI: RSI(6) = 62.92, RSI(12) = 61.39 → Short-term correction signal.
MACD: DIF < DEA and MACD slightly negative (-0.01) → Downward pressure is forming.
Volume: Lower than MA → Lack of breakout momentum.
4-hour frame
EMA: EMA(7) < EMA(25) > EMA(99) → Signs of medium-term decline.
RSI: Neutral RSI(6) (56.03), while RSI(12) and RSI(24) are below 50 → Weak.
MACD: Both DIF and DEA are negative, MACD negative (-0.05) → Downward trend prevails.
Volume: Strong increase but OBV negative → Money is flowing out.
1-day frame:
EMA: EMA(7) > EMA(25), but EMA(99) at 151.28 is still a significant resistance.
RSI: RSI(12) = 56.95 → No clear trend yet.
MACD: MACD negative (-0.54) → Downward pressure still exists.
Volume: Very high and OBV positive → There is hidden buying pressure from long-term funds.
05M frame
EMA: EMA(7) ≈ EMA(25) → Market is balanced, waiting for a breakout.
RSI: RSI(6) = 65.62 → Signs of overbought.
MACD: DIF ≈ DEA, MACD slightly negative (-0.01) → Lack of clear momentum.
2. Trading strategy for SOL/USDT
Based on technical data, prioritize trading according to the 4-hour and daily frames with two clear scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout:
Condition: Price exceeds resistance 147.89 (EMA99 - 4h frame), along with increasing volume and RSI(6) < 70.
Set up order:
Entry price: 146.96 (EMA7 support - 15m frame)
Stop-loss: 145.03
Take-profit: 149.00
Success probability: ~60% (if MACD turns clearly positive)
Scenario 2 – Sell on correction:
Condition: Price drops below support 145.03 or RSI(6) exceeds 70 then reverses.
Set up order:
Entry price: 147.36 (short-term resistance - 1h frame)
Stop-loss: 148.66
Take-profit: 144.40
Success probability: ~55% (if daily RSI maintains below 50)
3. Risk management & notes
Recommended Risk:Reward ratio: 1:2
(For example: risk 1 USDT, expected profit 2 USDT)Volume per order: Maximum 5% of total capital
Closely follow market news: Especially information related to the Solana ecosystem.
Suggested strategy: Use the 1-day frame to determine the main trend, the 4-hour frame to find entry points, and the 15-minute frame to time the entry in detail.
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