Forecast for the upcoming BTC.D trend.
+ Scenario 1: BTC.D continues to rise
Some experts, such as the CEO of Jan3, predict that BTC.D may surpass the 65% mark and continue to rise in the short term, as Bitcoin remains the preferred asset in the context of global economic instability.
If BTC.D exceeds the 66%–70% range, the likelihood of altcoins being further "suppressed" and not breaking out remains high.
+ Scenario 2: BTC.D reverses downward – Altcoin season begins
Some technical analyses indicate that BTC.D may face strong resistance around the 64%–66% range and adjust to levels such as 50%, 46%, or even 40% in the coming months.
History shows that when BTC.D drops below 50%, capital often shifts to altcoins, leading to an "altcoin season" with strong growth.
==> Assessment:
Short term: BTC.D may continue to rise slightly or remain stable, as capital still prioritizes Bitcoin.
Medium term (Q2–Q3/2025): If BTC.D cannot surpass the current resistance level and starts to decline, the likelihood of an "altcoin season" beginning is high, especially if major altcoins like Ethereum regain market share.
Experience notes:
+ Closely monitor important technical levels of BTC.D: 66% (resistance) and 50% (psychological support).
+ If BTC.D falls below 50%, consider allocating capital to altcoins with solid fundamentals and large market capitalization.
+ Always combine technical analysis with macro news and institutional capital flows to make reasonable investment decisions.
This article reflects personal opinions, which may be right or wrong. Readers are advised to consider.