Chart: 1D | Tools: Ichimoku, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic RSI, MACD
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1. Trend overview:
AI has created a bottom around the 0.09–0.10 area and had a short recovery above 0.15. However, the current signal is diverging – this upward phase is not truly reliable.
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2. Ichimoku Cloud:
• The price is close to the bottom edge of the Kumo cloud, which is a very important area to determine whether the trend can reverse.
• The Chikou Span is still below the price, with no confirmation signal for a real breakout.
• The Kumo cloud ahead is starting to flatten, indicating that the downward momentum is weakening but not strong enough to reverse the trend.
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3. Bollinger Bands:
• The price broke above the upper band but was quickly pushed back, indicating that buying pressure is insufficient to sustain it.
• The Bollinger Bands are slightly expanding → the market is entering a new volatility phase, which could be a pullback or a trap.
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4. Stochastic RSI:
• It has sharply cut down from the overbought zone, with a clear sell signal.
• The main RSI line (green) is sharply declining and has fallen below the signal line → warning that the correction has not yet ended.
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5. MACD:
• The MACD is starting to turn slightly positive, with a green histogram → short-term trend shows signs of recovery.
• However, the slope of the MACD is weakening, and the risk of a 'bull trap' is appearing.
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Reference strategy:
• Short-term support: 0.13 – if it breaks, it will return to the old bottom of 0.10.
• Strong resistance: 0.18 – breaking this area will confirm the reversal.
• Reasonable strategy:
• Watch the area between 0.13–0.14. If the price holds and the RSI creates a positive divergence → it may be a good time to enter a small test position.
• If the price drops below 0.13, it is advisable to exit the position immediately to avoid falling into the liquidity loss zone.
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Conclusion:
AI/USDT is at a critical battleground between bulls and bears. A recovery is possible, but the probability of a trap remains high. The most important thing right now is to defend and wait for confirmation rather than FOMO.
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Note: This article is not investment advice. Please assess risks before entering any trades.
