I. Multi-period technical resonance analysis
Daily level
The price has been restricted by MA5 (1801.56) and MA10 (1814.72) death cross for 3 consecutive days, with MA30 at 1826.53 forming strong resistance.
MACD indicator: DIF and DEA diverged for the second time below the zero axis, green momentum bars are expanding, indicating that the medium-term adjustment is not over.
4-hour level
The descending channel is clear, the current price touches the lower boundary of the channel around 1795.
Key signal: MA5 (1817.60) crossing below MA30 (1826.27) forms a 'death triangle', and the continuous shrinkage of trading volume indicates that a market change is imminent.
1-hour level
The 1795-1800 range has oscillated for 12 candlesticks, and the Bollinger Bands have narrowed to historical extremes (bandwidth only 0.8%)
RSI indicator: 42.3 is in a neutral weak area, with no obvious overselling.
II. Precision sniping strategy (125x leverage)
Bearish plan
Opening position: around 1800.00 (round number + upper boundary of the range)
First take profit: 1788
Second take profit: 1770
Stop loss: 1820
III. Key data monitoring
Non-farm payroll data released at 10:30 AM Eastern Time (if employment exceeds expectations, it will impact risk assets)
Necessary exchange ETH/BTC rate (current 0.0612, breaking below 0.06 will accelerate the decline)
The battle for the 30,000 mark of Bitcoin (correlation coefficient reaches 0.89)
Strategic advantage: Using a profit-loss ratio design of '1%! risk for 2%! return', in line with institutional trading logic. Suggested trailing stop loss set at 1.5 times ATR(14) (current ATR=24.3)
Wealth warning: Currently in a classic market change combination of 'descending channel + shrinking oscillation', it is recommended to use a 5%! position for trial orders, and add 3%! if breaking 1826. Pay attention to the wind and clouds for real-time strategy updates.
