#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

Bitcoin May 5, 2025 Trend Analysis

Technical Indicators

Simple Moving Average (SMA):

10-day: $96,144.50 (Sell Signal)

20-day: $95,916.30 (Sell Signal)

50-day: $94,779.10 (Buy Signal)

100-day: $89,620.90 (Buy Signal)

200-day: $86,607.20 (Buy Signal)

Momentum Indicators:

Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14): 52.14, Neutral, not in Overbought or Oversold territory

MACD: -252.80, Sell Signal, indicating weakening short-term momentum

Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band, suggesting the market may be overheating

Support and Resistance

Support Levels:

$93,000 (Short-term)

$92,500 (Medium-term)

Resistance Levels:

$98,000 (Short-term)

$106,000 (Long-term)

Market Sentiment

Fear and Greed Index: 64 (Greed), slightly down from 65 yesterday, significantly improved from 28 (Fear) last month

Social Media Sentiment:

@ali_charts: Active addresses reached 925,900, six-month high, indicating network activity

@stacy_muur: Active addresses exceeded 1 million on April 25, reflecting market enthusiasm

On-chain Data Analysis

Active Addresses: Latest data (May 4, 2025): 925,914, six-month high

Trading Volume: Daily trading volume (May 3, 2025): 389,717 transactions, up 2.76% from yesterday (379,268), down 11.98% from last year (442,742)

Price Prediction

Short-term:

Bullish Scenario: Break above $98,000, may reach $100,000

Bearish Scenario: Pullback to $92,000, need to monitor RSI and NUPL signals

Medium-term:

Forecast Range: $90,000 to $175,000, depending on institutional inflows and regulatory environment

Long-term:

Based on limited supply and DEFI growth, may reach $300,000

Investment Advice

Long-term Investors:

Buy on dips during fear sentiment (Index < 30), currently in a greed phase suggest waiting, focus on $92,000 support

Short-term Traders:

Utilize support level ($93,000) and resistance level ($98,000) for swing trading

Set stop-loss below $92,000, monitor derivatives data (such as funding rates)

From the above analysis, it can be seen that Bitcoin's trend on May 5, 2025, is influenced by various factors, including technical indicators, market sentiment, on-chain data analysis, and macroeconomic factors. Investors should combine technical, sentiment, and on-chain data to flexibly adjust their strategies, paying attention to key support levels and macroeconomic changes.