In the context of a highly volatile market lacking a clear trend, XRP/USDT is forming a notable accumulation zone. Below is a detailed technical analysis based on chart sequences from 15 minutes to 1 day, along with corresponding action strategies.
Notable Technical Developments
1. Price trend through EMA lines
EMA(7) fluctuates around EMA(25) on most of the chart, reflecting a short-term sideways trend.
EMA(99) acts as long-term resistance when above the short-term EMA in most timeframes (15M, 1h, 1D). In the 5M timeframe, EMA(7) crosses above EMA(99) – a potential sign of a bullish reversal.
2. RSI Indicator
RSI(6) fluctuates from 41 to 71, sometimes exceeding the overbought threshold (image 1) or falling into the oversold zone (1h, 5M timeframe).
RSI(12/24) mainly fluctuates within the neutral range (45–55), indicating a lack of clear market momentum.
3. MACD Indicator
The charts give conflicting signals:
15M, 1h, and 1D: DIF < DEA (downward pressure), but the histogram occasionally turns positive.
4h timeframe: DIF > DEA with positive MACD – the clearest bullish signal.
4. Trading Volume and OBV
Trading volume decreases over time (219k down to 36k), while OBV is deeply negative across many charts → maintaining selling pressure.
The 4h timeframe records a spike in positive OBV (~153B) along with high liquidity – indicating an influx of money, but sustainability needs to be verified.
5. Support and Resistance Zones
The current price fluctuates around 2.187 USDT, approaching an important resistance zone at 2.3622 USDT (5M timeframe).
The nearest support is at 2.175 USDT, coinciding with EMA(25) on the 3-hour timeframe (4h timeframe).
Proposed Trading Strategy
1. Long Scenario (Buying)
Activation Conditions:
The closing price exceeds EMA(99) (~2.20 USDT).
MACD turns positive, RSI(12) exceeds 50 and shows an upward trend.
Entry: When the price breaks out above 2.20 with increasing volume.
Stop loss: Below 2.175.
Take profit: Around 2.36.
Success probability: ~60%, depending on money flow (monitor OBV).
2. Short Scenario (Short Selling)
Activation Conditions:
RSI(6) > 70 or the price falls below EMA(7).
Negative MACD (DIF < DEA).
Entry: If the price breaks the nearest low (2.183).
Stop loss: Above 2.195.
Take profit: The psychological support zone at 2.15.
Success probability: ~55%, as the market remains sideways.
3. Range Trading Strategy
Buy around: 2.175.
Sell around: 2.20.
Stop loss: Close to the support/resistance zone.
This strategy is suitable when RSI(12) fluctuates within the 45–55 range and liquidity is low.
Important Note
The charts use different timeframes (15 minutes to 1 day), thus confirmation from the 4H or 1D timeframe should be prioritized to ensure accuracy.
XRP is often sensitive to legal news (e.g., the lawsuit between Ripple and the SEC), so investors should combine technical analysis with monitoring macro news.
Prioritize combining multiple indicators to filter noise (MACD + RSI + EMA), especially when the market lacks a clear trend.
Conclusion
Currently, the bullish breakout scenario is the most noteworthy if XRP can break through the 2.20 USDT zone with confirmed money flow. In the absence of breakout signals, range trading strategy may be prioritized to optimize performance.
Pay close attention to MACD and OBV – these will be key to determining where the real money flow is leaning.
