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AUCTION/USDT Trade Plan
Current Price: 11.31 USDT (-2.50%)
Scenarios
1. Bearish Reversal (Short)
Trigger: Price rejects 11.75 (24h High) and breaks below EMA(7) = 11.25 with rising volume.
Entry: On breakdown close below 11.25.
Targets:
TP1: 11.36 USDT (EMA99)
TP2: 11.13 USDT (24h Low)
Stop Loss: Above 11.75 USDT
2. Bullish Breakout (Long)
Trigger: Price closes decisively above 11.75 with volume > MA(10).
Entry: On breakout candle close.
Targets: 12.00–12.50 USDT (psychological levels)
Stop Loss: Below EMA(99) at 11.36 USDT
3. Pullback to Support (Long)
Trigger: Price retests 11.23–11.25 (EMA25/EMA7) with bullish reversal candle.
Entry: On confirmation candle (e.g., hammer).
Target: 11.75 USDT (breakout retest)
Stop Loss: Below 11.13 USDT (24h Low)
Key Factors
EMA Alignment: Short EMAs (7,25) are slightly below price, long EMA(99) at 11.36 acts as overhead resistance.
Overbought Warning: RSI(6) 78.19 & StochRSI 100 signal likely correction.
MACD: Weak bullish crossover (histogram 0.01) — momentum is low.
Volume: Current volume < MA(10) (3.01M) — watch for spikes to confirm moves.
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