(Don't FOMO when you don't understand this clearly)
The market is starting to have small waves.
Altcoins sporadically pump.
Many people ask me:
"Hey, is the altcoin season coming? Can we enter strongly?"
I understand that feeling.
But the truth is:
The altcoin season hasn't really started yet.
And this is how I differentiate.
Altcoin Season is NOT just about green prices.
To have a real altcoin season, the market needs:
- Retail investors are coming back with strong FOMO.
- Cash flow into altcoins increases dramatically.
- The US and China negotiate the end of the trade war.
- Fed officially pivots, stops monetary tightening.
- Global M2 money supply is expanding rapidly.
In other words:
There needs to be consensus between macro, cash flow and crowd psychology.
It's not just a few short green candles.
When the altcoin season truly arrives:
Altcoin clearly outperforms BTC.
Everyone is racing to show profits.
Silly coins also x5, x10.
FOMO spreads everywhere – from Youtube, TikTok to the press.
At that time, you just need to sit still to profit.
But not every altcoin wins.
Coins with cash flow, have communities → soar strongly.
Garbage coins → still sideways, even decreasing.
The altcoin season can't save dead coins.
Only those who choose correctly will truly win.
📍 So what about now?
- Fed has not pivoted yet.
- QT (monetary tightening) is still ongoing.
- Big money is still sheltering in gold.
- Total Market Cap on D1 hasn't confirmed an uptrend structure.
👉 Not yet qualified for a real altcoin season.
My plan?
- Continue to closely observe the total market capitalization (Total Market Cap).
- Light DCA, conserve energy.
Only enter strongly when:
- Clear D1 structure (higher high, higher low).
- Fed confirms easing.
- Retail cash flow is coming back clearly.
"No need to enter early.
Just need to enter at the right time."
The costly lesson I once experienced:
Entering early before altseason = enduring losses is exhausting.
Wait for clear confirmation before entering = catch strong waves, reduce stress.
Which type do you choose?
Altcoin season will come. But only for those who are patient enough.
Don't let a few green candles make you forget that:
Crypto is a game of cash flow – not an emotional game.