🚨 Has the recession started? Are we facing a crash? 📉

Yo, traders! $BTC at $95,873, but the markets are trembling — the USA has entered a recession with negative GDP in Q1 2025 (-0.3% according to Reuters, May 1). Let’s break down what’s happening! 🔥

1️⃣ Reason and situation: Negative GDP due to an import boom before Trump's tariffs. The economy is slowing down, but it’s not a disaster — unemployment is stable (4.3%, Reuters, May 3), companies are building up inventories. There’s a risk, but no panic.

2️⃣ Recession = crash? History of the USA shows: not always. The Great Recession of 2008 (-3.8% GDP) caused a 57% drop in the S&P 500, but in 1980 (-0.3%) — only a 6% decline. The market's reaction depends on the depth. The current downturn is still mild.

3️⃣ Summer 2025: collapse or growth? Predictions are mixed. A summer crash is possible if the tariff war escalates (Goldman Sachs, 45% chance of recession). The Fed may lower the rate (5.25-5.5%) by 0.25-0.5% in May — this is a signal of support. Should we exit? No, hold your positions — a correction to $90k, but Q3 could lift $BTC to $110k.

4️⃣ Trump and softening: The team is looking for ways to mitigate the impact of tariffs, but the rhetoric is tough. Softening is possible if the market crashes further.

Activity = new topics faster! 🍋 Good luck everyone! ❤️ #recession #BTC #markets$