$DOLO Shorting DOLO
The daily K-line displayed on Bitget peaked at 0.088 on its launch day before declining. After stabilizing at 4.30, bulls began to push up, but after reaching 0.065, it started to pull back. From the 4-hour K-line perspective, the bearish strength in the 0.6-0.7 range is strong, with a tendency to drop at any moment. Entry point is 0.05642, stop-loss at 0.066, first target at 0.5, second target at 0.41
Fundamentals
Technical Positioning:
DeFi Lending Protocol: Built on Arbitrum and Berachain, integrating virtual liquidity and cross-chain functionality (such as LayerZero, IBC), supporting lending of assets like ETH and WBTC.
Governance Mechanism: Adopts veDOLO (NFT governance token) and oDOLO (liquidity incentives), forming a revenue-sharing closed loop.
Token Economics:
Total Supply: 1 billion tokens, current circulation: 362 million tokens (36.2%), latest price: $0.0535, circulating market cap: $19.3 million, FDV: $53.5 million.
Distribution: 20% airdrop (users + contributors), 30% team/institution (locked for 12 months), 25% staking rewards.
Capital Backing: Financing of $24 million, with investors including Binance Labs and Coinbase Ventures.
Outlook and Risks
Short Term (Q2 2025):
Price dropped 65.39% after Binance Alpha went live (current price: $0.0535), reflecting airdrop selling pressure and insufficient market confidence.
Short-term volatility risk remains high, need to be cautious of unlocking selling pressure (airdrop accounts for 20% of circulation).
Mid Term (End of 2025):
If the Berachain ecosystem expands smoothly (TVL $660 million, lending protocol ranked first), FDV could challenge Compound level ($870 million), corresponding price $0.87.
Key Validation Points: Q3 cross-chain bridge implementation and MAU charging model (theoretical annual revenue $30 million).
Long Term (2026+):
To benchmark AAVE (FDV $5.43 billion), must overcome technical bottlenecks (such as virtual liquidity validation) and user growth (current TVL is less than 3% of AAVE).
Risk Warning:
High Inflation: Staking APY of 85% relies on token issuance, leading to long-term dilution of value.
Competitive Pressure: Similar protocols Compound and AAVE have already established dominance.
Technical Vulnerabilities: Transaction failures occurred during the initial launch, exposing stability issues of the protocol.
Summary: $DOLO is temporarily suppressed by airdrop selling pressure in the short term, needs to validate the growth of the Berachain ecosystem and revenue model in the mid-term, while long-term valuation depends on cross-chain narratives and technological breakthroughs.
The daily K-line displayed on Bitget peaked at 0.088 on its launch day before declining. After stabilizing at 4.30, bulls began to push up, but after reaching 0.065, it started to pull back. From the 4-hour K-line perspective, the bearish strength in the 0.6-0.7 range is strong, with a tendency to drop at any moment. Entry point is 0.05642, stop-loss at 0.066, first target at 0.5, second target at 0.41
Fundamentals
Technical Positioning:
DeFi Lending Protocol: Built on Arbitrum and Berachain, integrating virtual liquidity and cross-chain functionality (such as LayerZero, IBC), supporting lending of assets like ETH and WBTC.
Governance Mechanism: Adopts veDOLO (NFT governance token) and oDOLO (liquidity incentives), forming a revenue-sharing closed loop.
Token Economics:
Total Supply: 1 billion tokens, current circulation: 362 million tokens (36.2%), latest price: $0.0535, circulating market cap: $19.3 million, FDV: $53.5 million.
Distribution: 20% airdrop (users + contributors), 30% team/institution (locked for 12 months), 25% staking rewards.
Capital Backing: Financing of $24 million, with investors including Binance Labs and Coinbase Ventures.
Outlook and Risks
Short Term (Q2 2025):
Price dropped 65.39% after Binance Alpha went live (current price: $0.0535), reflecting airdrop selling pressure and insufficient market confidence.
Short-term volatility risk remains high, need to be cautious of unlocking selling pressure (airdrop accounts for 20% of circulation).
Mid Term (End of 2025):
If the Berachain ecosystem expands smoothly (TVL $660 million, lending protocol ranked first), FDV could challenge Compound level ($870 million), corresponding price $0.87.
Key Validation Points: Q3 cross-chain bridge implementation and MAU charging model (theoretical annual revenue $30 million).
Long Term (2026+):
To benchmark AAVE (FDV $5.43 billion), must overcome technical bottlenecks (such as virtual liquidity validation) and user growth (current TVL is less than 3% of AAVE).
Risk Warning:
High Inflation: Staking APY of 85% relies on token issuance, leading to long-term dilution of value.
Competitive Pressure: Similar protocols Compound and AAVE have already established dominance.
Technical Vulnerabilities: Transaction failures occurred during the initial launch, exposing stability issues of the protocol.
Summary: $DOLO is temporarily suppressed by airdrop selling pressure in the short term, needs to validate the growth of the Berachain ecosystem and revenue model in the mid-term, while long-term valuation depends on cross-chain narratives and technological breakthroughs.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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