Troy陈清风
--
Regarding tonight's non-farm payroll and employment rate, here are my humble opinions!
1. The unemployment rate will definitely be higher than expected. The experience in the United States shows rising prices and public grievances.
2. The expected value for non-farm payrolls is lower than the previous value, which feels like a signal for easing, so I estimate the actual value will be higher than the expected value, but far lower than the previous value.
Now let's analyze the impact on the overall market. The overall trend should present a pattern of falling first and then rising, with a significant amplitude. Since there will be a Federal Reserve meeting on the upper and lower limits right after May 8, I personally feel that this non-farm payroll will continue to rise after the market fluctuations, breaking through the pressure point of 98,000.
1. The unemployment rate will definitely be higher than expected. The experience in the United States shows rising prices and public grievances.
2. The expected value for non-farm payrolls is lower than the previous value, which feels like a signal for easing, so I estimate the actual value will be higher than the expected value, but far lower than the previous value.
Now let's analyze the impact on the overall market. The overall trend should present a pattern of falling first and then rising, with a significant amplitude. Since there will be a Federal Reserve meeting on the upper and lower limits right after May 8, I personally feel that this non-farm payroll will continue to rise after the market fluctuations, breaking through the pressure point of 98,000.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
824
0