II. Various cycle chart analyses

[1-hour chart analysis]
Structural pattern: After a V-shaped reversal, it oscillates higher, a pullback occurs at the top of 157.24, with support clearly concentrated in the 145-146 range.

Moving average system: EMA5, EMA10, EMA20 turning upwards, short-term trend is biased bullish.

MACD: DIF > DEA and above the zero axis, golden cross state maintained, volume has contracted but not significantly diverged.

SAR Parabolic: The point is supported below the candlestick, short-term buying remains dominant.

Short-term direction: Dips to gather strength, bullish dominance, leaning towards breaking 153 to test around 157.

[4-hour chart analysis]

Bottom confirmation: 95.19 forms a bottom, second dip does not break, creating a small double bottom pattern, currently in a rebound continuation.

Moving averages in bullish arrangement: MA5, 10, 20 crossing above MA30, indicating that the medium-term trend is recovering.

Bollinger Bands: The middle band supports around 148, the current price is slightly above the middle band, has not yet broken the upper band, momentum is conservatively upward.

MACD: Bullish momentum continues but starts to converge; if it cannot expand, be wary of short-term adjustments.

Medium-term direction: Continuation of the rebound, expected to test prior high pressure at 157; if broken, it is likely to challenge 165.

[Daily chart analysis]


Long-term trend: After falling from the high of 295 to 95, a complete downtrend channel is formed before stopping and rebounding, creating a U-shaped reversal prototype.

Bull-bear dividing line: Around 150 is a key conversion point (capital accumulation + previous box oscillation center); stabilizing here establishes reversal logic.

Bollinger Bands opening: Slightly upwards, with space for the upper band, the middle Bollinger band support is at 140, the overall bullish structure has not been broken.

SAR support: Support points continue to rise, short-term bullish remains unchanged.

Major trend direction: Still a rebound continuation, but if it breaks out with volume between 150-157, the pattern may enter the main upward stage.


III. Operational strategy suggestions (May 2nd intraday + short-term)


Direction judgment: Slightly bullish, mainly looking to buy on dips, target range is biased upwards

Entry point: 150
First target 152
Second target 154
Stop loss at 148.5

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