Active Realized Price ($71k) and True Market Mean ($65k) represent cost basis estimates for active Bitcoin investors, excluding lost and dormant supply. These models serve as mean reversion indicators, with price trading above them approximately 50% of the time, marking the divide between bullish and bearish regimes. The $65k-$71k range now shows confluence across multiple on-chain models, establishing a critical support zone. If price breaks below this range, most active investors would face losses, potentially triggering negative sentiment and further selling pressure.

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