This is the price of XRP after ETF approval if XRP ETFs capture 15% to 30% of Bitcoin ETF flows.
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This is the price of XRP after ETF approval.
Date:
May 1, 2025
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The price of XRP could reach greater heights if the XRP exchange-traded funds manage to secure even a small portion of Bitcoin ETF flows after approval.
The potential approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for XRP in the United States could have massive price implications for this currency. With most regulatory hurdles concerning XRP resolved and institutional interest increasing, the chances of approval have risen.
Interestingly, Polymarket predicts an 80% chance for the approval of the XRP exchange-traded fund this year, up from 68% just a week ago. As market participants anticipate these products, most expect an upward impact on the price of XRP, especially if it achieves similar success to Bitcoin exchange-traded funds.
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Chances of XRP ETF approval on Polymarket
Chances of approval for the XRP exchange-traded fund | Polymarket
XRP price if XRP exchange-traded funds capture 15-30% of Bitcoin exchange-traded fund flows.
In a related context, data from Sosovalue indicates that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have gathered nearly $39 billion in net flows since their launch in January 2024. If XRP exchange-traded funds capture just 15% to 30% of this figure, the price of XRP could rise significantly.
For example, assuming that XRP exchange-traded funds attract 15% of Bitcoin ETF flows, this equals $5.85 billion flowing into XRP-focused funds. Applying a modest 100x flow-to-value multiple, this amount of $5.85 billion could boost XRP's market cap by $585 billion.
It is worth noting that when adding the current market cap of about $130 billion, the total new valuation would reach $715 billion. At the same time, the circulating supply of XRP is currently 58.44 billion tokens. Taking this figure into account, the token price would reach approximately $12.23, an increase of 450% from its current trading price of $2.22.
However, doubling this share to 30% of Bitcoin exchange-traded fund flows would have even more dramatic effects. This high ratio would lead to a flow of $11.7 billion in net capital into XRP exchange-traded funds. This would result in an increase of $1.17 trillion in XRP's total value using the same 100x multiple.
When combined with the current market cap of $130 billion, the value of XRP could rise to around $1.3 trillion. This new valuation results in an XRP price of $22.2, considering the supply of 58.44 billion tokens. This increase would represent an approximate 900% rise in value from its current price.
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Developments on the XRP exchange-traded fund
While these forecasts are based on assumptions, the increasing interest in XRP exchange-traded fund products supports the idea that institutional investment may flood the market once approvals are obtained. The Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise previously confirmed that they are witnessing significant demand for XRP exchange-traded funds.
Notably, the landscape for XRP exchange-traded funds has seen rapid developments throughout 2024 and 2025. Teucrium Investment Advisors has led the way by launching the Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF on April 8, providing leveraged exposure to daily XRP price fluctuations.
Interestingly, ProShares recently received the green light to launch a series of futures-based exchange-traded funds, including leveraged and inverse offerings. However, these products rely on derivatives, not on direct holdings of XRP.
Despite this momentum, no spot trading fund for Ripple (XRP) has been approved yet. Several firms, such as Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton, have submitted applications.
Among them, Franklin Templeton recently experienced a delay when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission announced on April 29 that it was extending the review period for the company's proposal regarding the spot XRP ETF.$XRP
Most importantly, the potential outcome of the Ripple case against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would enhance approval chances. Several companies, including BitNomial, Coinbase, and the CME Group, have proposed futures contracts for Ripple under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This further supports the launch of a trading fund for Ripple.