This is the price of XRP after ETF approval if XRP ETFs capture 15% to 30% of Bitcoin ETF flows
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This is the price of XRP after ETF approval
Date:
May 1, 2025
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The price of XRP could reach greater heights if XRP exchange-traded funds manage to secure just a small portion of Bitcoin ETF flows after approval.
The potential approval of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States could have massive price implications for this currency. With most regulatory hurdles surrounding XRP resolved and increasing institutional interest, the chances of approval have risen.
Interestingly, Polymarket predicts an 80% approval rate for the XRP exchange-traded fund this year, up from 68% just a week ago. With market participants anticipating these products, most expect an upward impact on the price of XRP, especially if it achieves similar success to Bitcoin exchange-traded funds.
- Announcement -
freestar
Odds of XRP ETF approval on Polymarket
Chances of approval for the XRP exchange-traded fund | Polymarket
Price of XRP if XRP exchange-traded funds achieve 15-30% of Bitcoin exchange-traded fund flows
In a related context, data from Sosovalue indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have gathered nearly $39 billion in net flows since their launch in January 2024. If XRP ETFs capture only 15% to 30% of this figure, the price of XRP could significantly rise.
For instance, assuming that XRP exchange-traded funds attract 15% of Bitcoin exchange-traded fund flows, this equates to $5.85 billion flowing into funds focused on XRP. Applying a modest flow-to-value multiple of 100x, this amount of $5.85 billion could enhance XRP's market capitalization by $585 billion.
It is worth noting that when adding the current market capitalization of approximately $130 billion, the total new valuation would reach $715 billion. At the same time, the circulating supply of XRP currently stands at 58.44 billion tokens. Accounting for this figure, the token price would reach approximately $12.23, representing an increase of 450% from its current trading price of $2.22.
However, doubling this share to 30% of Bitcoin exchange-traded fund flows would have more dramatic effects. This high ratio would lead to a net capital inflow of $11.7 billion into XRP exchange-traded funds. This would result in an increase of $1.17 trillion in the total value of XRP, applying the same 100x multiple.
When combined with the current market capitalization of $130 billion, the value of XRP could rise to approximately $1.3 trillion. This new valuation results in an XRP price of $22.2, considering a supply of 58.44 billion tokens. This increase would represent a rise in value of nearly 900% from its current price.
- Announcement -
Developments in the XRP exchange-traded fund
While these forecasts are based on assumptions, the growing interest in XRP exchange-traded fund products supports the idea that institutional investment could flood the market once approvals are obtained. The chief investment officer at Bitwise previously confirmed that they are witnessing significant demand for XRP exchange-traded funds.
It is noteworthy that the landscape for XRP ETFs has seen rapid developments throughout 2024 and 2025. Teucrium Investment Advisors led the way by launching the Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF on April 8, providing leveraged exposure to daily XRP price fluctuations.
Interestingly, ProShares recently received the green light to launch a series of futures-based ETFs, including leveraged and inverse offerings. However, these products rely on derivatives, not on direct holdings of XRP.
Despite this momentum, no spot trading ETF for Ripple (XRP) has been approved yet. Several companies, such as Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton, have submitted applications.
Among them, Franklin Templeton recently experienced a delay when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission announced on April 29 that it was extending the review period for the company's proposal regarding the XRP spot ETF.
Most importantly, the potential outcome of the Ripple case against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would enhance the chances of approval. Several companies, including Bitnomial, Coinbase, and CME Group, have proposed futures contracts for Ripple under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This further supports the launch of a trading fund for Ripple.
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