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This is the price of XRP after ETF approval.
Date:
May 1, 2025
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The price of XRP could reach greater heights if XRP ETFs manage to secure just a small portion of Bitcoin ETF flows after approval.
The potential approval of XRP ETFs in the United States could have huge price implications for this cryptocurrency. With most regulatory hurdles regarding XRP resolved and institutional interest increasing, the chances of approval have risen.
Interestingly, Polymarket predicts an 80% chance of approval for the XRP ETF this year, up from 68% just a week ago. With market participants eagerly anticipating these products, most expect an upward impact on the price of XRP, especially if it achieves similar success to Bitcoin ETFs.
- Announcement -
freestar
The odds of XRP ETF approval on Polymarket.
Chances of approval for the XRP ETF | Polymarket
The price of XRP if XRP ETFs capture 15-30% of the flows from Bitcoin ETFs.
In a related context, data from Sosovalue indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have gathered nearly $39 billion in net flows since their launch in January 2024. If XRP ETFs captured only 15% to 30% of this figure, the price of XRP could rise significantly.
For example, assuming that XRP ETFs attract 15% of Bitcoin ETF flows, this equates to $5.85 billion flowing into XRP-focused funds. Applying a modest multiple of flows to value of 100x, this amount of $5.85 billion could enhance XRP's market value by $585 billion.
It is worth noting that when adding the current market cap of approximately $130 billion, the total new valuation would reach $715 billion. At the same time, the circulating supply of XRP is currently 58.44 billion tokens. Accounting for this figure, the token price would reach around $12.23, an increase of 450% from its current trading price of $2.22.
However, doubling this share to 30% of Bitcoin ETF flows would have more dramatic effects. This higher percentage would lead to a flow of $11.7 billion in net capital to XRP ETFs. This would result in an increase of $1.17 trillion in the total value of XRP by applying the same 100x multiple.
When combined with the current market value of $130 billion, the value of XRP could rise to around $1.3 trillion. This new valuation results in an XRP price of $22.2, considering the supply of 58.44 billion tokens. This increase would represent a rise in value of nearly 900% from its current price.
- Announcement -
Developments in the XRP ETF.
While these predictions are based on assumptions, the growing interest in XRP ETFs supports the idea that institutional investment could flood the market once approvals are obtained. The Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise has previously confirmed that they are witnessing significant demand for XRP ETFs.
It is worth noting that the landscape for XRP ETFs saw rapid developments throughout 2024 and 2025. Teucrium Investment Advisors led the way by launching the Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF on April 8, providing leveraged exposure to daily XRP price fluctuations.
Interestingly, ProShares recently received the green light to launch a series of futures-based ETFs, including leveraged and inverse offerings. However, these products rely on derivatives, not on direct holdings of XRP.
Despite this momentum, no spot trading XRP ETF has been approved yet. Several firms, such as Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton, have submitted applications.
Among them, Franklin Templeton recently experienced a delay when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission announced on April 29 that it was extending the review period for the company's proposal regarding the XRP ETF.
Most importantly, the potential outcome of Ripple's case against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would bolster approval chances. Several firms, including Bitnomial, Coinbase, and the CME Group, have launched futures contracts for Ripple that are subject to the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This further supports the launch of a trading ETF for Ripple.
