In the world of cryptocurrencies, understanding how whales (large investors) operate is key to anticipating movements and gaining an advantage in the market. Here I share a real and useful analysis that you can apply to your trading:
🔹 1. Average duration of a bullish movement caused by a whale:
📈 Quick movements (scalp/flash pump):
⏱️ They last between 15 minutes and 2 hours.
⚠️ They are used to liquidate shorts or generate bullish panic.
📊 Structured movements (whale swing):
⏱️ They last between 6 to 48 hours.
✅ They are more sustained and often include psychological manipulation or news.
🧱 Prolonged movements (narratives or accumulation):
⏱️ They can last several days or weeks.
🧠 Driven by narrative, accumulation, or institutional strategies.
🔹 2. Average profitability:
🚀 Flash pumps:
Profitability between 15% and 50% in a very short time.
📈 Structured swings:
Profitability between 30% and 200%, depending on the asset and its liquidity.
💡 Real example: the case of ALPACA on Binance Futures. This cryptocurrency rose over 500% in just a few hours before being delisted from futures, trapping many short traders and leaving spot traders at the top of the rally, unable to capitalize on gains amid a sharp drop.
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