📉 The likelihood of a RECESSION in the US in 2025 has sharply increased to 71% according to Polymarket's odds.

🔍 On the betting platform Kalshi, the probability of a recession is 74% based on the US GDP report.

📉 **Bloomberg:** The US GDP contracted for the first time since 2022, reflecting the impact of Donald Trump's trade policies. Many economists anticipate that higher tariffs will disrupt supply chains, leading to business challenges and a decrease in consumer demand, thus increasing the likelihood of a recession in the US.

🏦 **Goldman Sachs:** Foreign investors' appetite for US assets may diminish, even if the currency does not depreciate further. A downward trend in American assets is expected even without a significant economic slowdown.

📰 **Reuters:** Investors have started to exit US assets actively due to political turmoil in the US and escalating trade tensions with China. Wall Street is shifting its focus to Latin American currencies and shares of gold mining companies.

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