ALPACAUSDT Analysis

🔍 Analysis of ALPACAUSDT (4H, Binance)

📆 Key date: May 2 — delisting from Binance

⚠️ Fundamentals:

Delisting — a trigger for a powerful volatile movement:

💥 Up — pump by speculators (short squeeze)

📉 Down — position liquidation and sell-off
📊 Technical Analysis:

1. Formation:

🔺 Symmetrical triangle — classic consolidation before an impulse

→ A breakout will lead to a strong movement
2. Levels and targets:
Resistance: $0.3182
Support: $0.1582
Current price: $0.2631
3. Potential movement (based on the height of the triangle):

🔼 Up: up to $0.5365 (+177%)
🔽 Down: down to $0.1189 or even $0.042 (-76%)

4. Indicators:
Bollinger Bands — narrowing → expecting an impulse
MA/EMA — price above short-term moving averages → local bullish sentiment

Ichimoku — support from the cloud
SAR — below, confirms upward pressure

📌 Conclusion:

Scenario until May 2:
⚔ Speculative pump is possible against the backdrop of delisting news.
📉 After the delisting — risk of sharp dump/null liquidity.
🧠 Recommendation:
Enter only with stop-losses and clear risk management.
A short speculative long position is possible, but profit taking before May 2 is mandatory.
After the delisting, the asset may lose liquidity and support.