Currently, Bitcoin faces a dual game of technical and financial aspects. Analysts emphasize: "Key battle on the technical front: $96,000 is the dividing line between bulls and bears. If it breaks above $96,000 (the average cost for short-term holders), it may trigger stop-loss buying that drives the price to challenge $100,000;
Conversely, if it falls below the support at $90,000, the range of $88,000-$94,000 may become a phase of consolidation."
The government released signals of tariff concessions, and the S&P 500 index rose 7.1% in a single week, driving Bitcoin and risk assets to strengthen together.
In a single week, the spot Bitcoin ETF saw an influx of $3.1 billion, hitting a historical peak, indicating that institutional and retail funds are accelerating into the market.
There are only about 40 days left until the block reward halving of $BTC . Historical patterns indicate that the market tends to accumulate and build momentum 3-6 months before halving. Analysts point out that if Bitcoin stabilizes above $96,000, it may initiate a sprint towards $100,000;
However, the short-seller liquidation wave and derivative indicators warn of short-term volatility risks. As institutional funds and retail leverage strategies diverge, the market is entering a critical turning point, and investors need to be cautious of profit-taking and the resonance effect of macro variables.
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