My strategy is equivalent to a manual grid strategy. Those who have opened a grid trading know that a grid strategy involves adding and reducing positions in equal or proportional increments. My manual optimization lies in the fact that I can ensure that each order is placed at relatively optimal points, which will be better than the grid entry points, resulting in a slightly higher risk-reward ratio. This is all hard-earned money; Is this a mindless short, leading to missing the entire bull market? Since trading is about making high-probability decisions, my approach is based on my own logical high-probability judgment of the current market conditions:
1) I define this rise as a rebound rather than a reversal because I have analyzed it from various aspects of my own trading logic, and currently, there are no conditions for a direct reversal; 2) I have previously mentioned that the area around 92,000-95,000 is the neckline area of a descending M pattern, where selling pressure is certain; 3) Currently, from a bottom around 75,000, there have been two upward segments. It is still uncertain whether there will be a third upward segment, but if there is, there will also be a correction afterward; Two lines of thought: ① The black line suggests that this rise is the entire rebound upward trend; ② The blue line suggests that this rise is the first segment of the entire rebound trend, and there will be another segment after the correction; 4) Based on the above judgments, taking the previous high of 110,000 as the top of the entire grid, this is my general idea for opening a short position in this grid trading.
If it's not a rebound but a reversal, what to do? Will I face liquidation? Will I miss the entire bull market?
What is my strategy?
Dividing by region, taking highs, and investing fixed amounts, for example in the 95,000 region, I only invest 100,000 USDT. If the next high point reaches around 100,000, I will invest another 100,000 USDT or 200,000 USDT while ensuring that the liquidation price is very far away. This returns to the topic mentioned at the beginning of the article: controlling positions and not looking down on this bit of profit.
2) The bull has arrived, what to do? Breaking the previous high and forming a series of upward waves are necessary conditions in my trading system for entering a bullish trend. I need to see these two points before I confirm that the bull market has truly returned; Questions to consider: ① If the bull has returned, what is the driving force, is it strong or not? ② Is it a strong B-wave rebound, or the fifth wave up?
3) At this point, maintaining a position with some margin has been beneficial. If my liquidation point is controlled at 200,000 USDT, or even 300,000 USDT, then my remaining position can be adjusted based on the market conditions after Bitcoin breaks the previous high.
Standard Chartered: Bitcoin is set to enter a new round of increases.
Geoffrey Kendrick, the global head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered, predicted in a report released on Monday (28) that Bitcoin is about to enter the next wave of upward momentum.
First, the U.S. Treasury yield premium (highly correlated with Bitcoin prices) has reached a 12-year high, possibly indicating bullish sentiment for Bitcoin; Second, trading session analysis shows that U.S. investors are actively seeking non-U.S. assets, a trend that has become particularly pronounced since Trump previously announced a 90-day tariff grace period for all countries except China. Asian investors are also starting to buy Bitcoin, further reinforcing upward momentum.
Recently, Binance Alpha announced the launch of the Solana chain MEME coin TROLL. Following this, TROLL surged by 50% within 24 hours, with a market cap exceeding $25 million, becoming a symbol of the latest crypto frenzy. Coupled with the explosive tweets from Musk, community hype, and capital manipulation, the Troll token quickly rose to fame, not only replicating the explosive trajectory of Pepe coin but also bringing the internet cultural symbol 'Troll' into the mainstream.
Currently, many altcoins show short-term buying opportunities.
ENA is performing well in the $0.32–$0.33 range, suitable for positioning.
STX made profits last week; if it retraces to the $0.75–$0.80 range, it can be entered again.
Despite large unlocks, SUI's price remains strong, with the $3.35–$3.40 range as solid support.
TRUMP, while having a generally mediocre fundamental outlook, has short-term volatility potential. $12 is a key support level, and around $13.50, a small position can be tested for a long.
If TAO falls back to $340, nearing a trend reversal point, it would be suitable for buying.
ONDO presents a buying opportunity in the $0.88–$0.90 range.
Overall, the 4-hour chart still leans bullish. Although most coins are only experiencing short-term rebounds without a true reversal, the long-term outlook remains optimistic.
