When Musk announced his resignation from the U.S. government at the end of May, a comment appeared domestically: 'If he leaves, he is Kang Youwei; if he doesn't, he is Tan Sitong.' This statement made countless people smile knowingly, and this kind of precise 'historical prophecy' can only be understood by the Chinese.
What Musk did in America is really just a modern version of the 'Hundred Days' Reform. Returning to the 1898 Reform Movement, as the reform leader, Kang Youwei fled overnight when Cixi fought back, spending the rest of his life wandering in Japan and America, continuing to advocate reform as a 'royalist', his choice is essentially a compromise of 'keeping the green mountains'. Not daring to completely overthrow the old system, yet trying to maintain reform ideals in exile, ultimately becoming a political symbol.
Tan Sitong could have escaped together, but he left behind the death poem 'I laugh defiantly at the sky with my sword'. His death was not an unwarranted sacrifice, but rather tore apart the decayed shroud of the Qing court with blood, paving the way for later revolutionaries. This is the historical law summarized by the Chinese. Reformers who touch the core of vested interests but lack the strength to overturn the old order either compromise and go into exile like Kang Youwei or sacrifice themselves for justice like Tan Sitong, with no third way.
Musk's 'American Reform' is a doomed reform, pulling the lens back to America, the reforms Musk is implementing are highly isomorphic to China's 1898 Reform Movement.
1) From the perspective of reform policies, it is aimed directly at the interests of vested groups, cutting 100,000 civil servants, breaking the hereditary system of iron rice bowls, analogous to Kang Youwei abolishing the eight-legged essay. AI anti-corruption, exposing the military's 320 million in building a 'one-time dock', comparable to Tan Sitong (Renxue) fiercely criticizing bureaucratic corruption. Cutting a $10,000 deficit shakes the military-industrial complex and financial oligarchs' cake, similar to dismantling the Green Camp, touching the interests of Manchurian nobles.
2) The resistance comes from the old order's systematic encirclement, officials with a salary of 200,000 yet possessing 20 million in assets, no different from the 'hardcore landlords' and Eight Banners descendants of the late Qing. The rednecks opposing the expansion of H1B visas are just like the hardliners inciting the Boxer Rebellion to 'support the Qing and eliminate the foreigners'. In the end, it's economic strangulation, Tesla's stock price plummeting by 45%, echoing Cixi cutting off the New Reformers' supplies.
The most fatal flaw in this reform is that Musk has neither military power nor a political mass base. Just like Zhang Juzheng controlling the bureaucratic system through examinations, he lacks the revolutionary class power for thorough change. His reform, like Kang Youwei's, tries to 'fix and patch' within the system, destined to become a victim of power games. Whether he runs or not, the Chinese have long predicted Musk's outcome!
If Musk chooses the 'Kang Youwei route', resigning and distancing himself from politics, then his reform ideals will ultimately become castles in the air. If he 'Tan Sitong-izes' and stays in American politics to face the reckoning, he might sacrifice himself for justice, but the problem is that businessman Musk is not that noble. The so-called 'separation of powers' in America has now essentially turned into a 'new-style aristocratic politics' of oligarchs, bureaucrats, and the military-industrial complex!
In America, they can't even raise someone like Tan Sitong who dares to shed blood. As a result, he failed, became cowardly, and resigned! Everyone, don't laugh at him, because how could a mere 200-year history like America produce someone like Tan Sitong who dares to study abroad? The torrent of 5000 years of history rolls forward, with Kang Youwei's escape, Tan Sitong's blood, and Musk's cowardice all in the prophecies of history, dust to dust, earth to earth!
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