The Opposites of News.
Corporate earnings are expected to show weakness this week, with investors pessimistic about how major technology companies are struggling in a worsening environment complicated by U.S. tariffs. Economic data may reveal worsening employment, inflation, and a contracting U.S. economy. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan might drastically shift interest rates, and Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway faces uncertainty ahead of its meeting.
1. Earnings slump
Instead of a strong earnings season, major U.S. firms, including tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Meta, are expected to report disappointing results. The “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks, once market leaders, are now dragging markets lower. Most companies are missing Wall Street expectations, with overall S&P 500 earnings projected to decline compared to last year.
Many businesses are slashing future guidance, as the economic outlook grows increasingly grim.
2. U.S. data downturn
Economic reports this week are likely to confirm deepening troubles for the U.S. economy, fueled by the ongoing tariff tensions.
GDP is expected to shrink, inflation may spike uncontrollably, manufacturing activity is forecast to contract sharply, and nonfarm payrolls could show major job losses.
Analysts warn that a recession appears imminent, with unemployment beginning to rise sharply.
3. BOJ surprise rate hike
Rather than holding steady, the Bank of Japan might surprisingly raise rates aggressively, citing collapsing global trade and financial instability caused by U.S. tariffs.
This unexpected move could further pressure the fragile Japanese economy, worsening recession risks.
4. Canadian election instability
Instead of a close race, Canada's election could result in political chaos.
Polls show no clear winner, raising the possibility of a hung parliament or prolonged uncertainty.
Tensions with the U.S., worsened by Trump's tariff actions and threats, are deeply unsettling voters and destabilizing Canada's relationship with its largest trading partner.
5. Berkshire Hathaway uncertainty