Monday, April 28
Views on BTC, ETH, Sol.
Before I begin, I want to inform everyone that the reason for not updating in the past two days is that I was liquidated. I adjusted my mindset and am starting over. The risk of contracts is inherently 50%, while the risk of holding positions is 95%. Let’s all take this as a lesson and strictly control our risk management.
BTC
Over the week, most people have been trapped around 910, and some are even around 880. We also regret being part of this group last week; I couldn't hold on, but I hope everyone can recover.
From the weekly chart, it appears we are close to the peak position at 968. I believe that without positive news and before a significant drop, the momentum to break this level is still insufficient.
The daily level pressure at 950-968 remains valid, and it’s clear that the upward momentum has slowed after reaching the respective pressure levels.
Although there hasn't been a significant drop yet, it provides a breathing opportunity for holders. If a significant drop occurs, the support levels at 913-883 may be tested. Therefore, I personally see three possible outcomes moving forward:
1. Directly rise and break 968 to reach 980, with a 15% probability.
2. Wide fluctuation between 910-950, using sideways movement to break 968, with a 45% probability.
3. Significant drop and then breaking 968, with a 40% probability.
Currently, I agree with the upward trend, but I am not optimistic about a direct rise and breakthrough. Therefore, during the day, it is advisable to approach 943-948 for entries, with a stop-loss at the breakthrough of 960, targeting 925-913, and if there is a volume surge, look towards 883.
ETH
The smaller timeframe is also in a wide fluctuation, with short-term pressure at 1815. Only a solid breakthrough of this position on the four-hour chart will lead to the daily pressure around 1860-1900. Ethereum is relatively prone to spikes, and whether it will spike through the upper pressure before pulling back requires further observation. After entering, just be cautious of spikes, with support below at 1735-1685. During the day, it’s also advisable to approach near 1815 for entries, and after a spike and breakthrough at 1850, stop-loss on the pullback.
Sol
After the previous breakthrough at 150 extending to 157, there has been a need for a pullback, with the lowest point again touching the support at 144. Currently, it is still running below 150, so if a rebound wants to regain strength as before, the four-hour level must break 150 and stabilize after a pullback before focusing on 155-160 above. Until it stabilizes, a small pullback can be observed, with two positions below at 144-138 for potential entries.
I am Yaoyang, never beat around the bush. If you like it, please follow and give a thumbs up. #比特币市值排名