Unlocking $130.36 billion is coming, is the market about to change?

On May 1st at 8 AM, SUI will unlock 74 million tokens, worth $267 million, equivalent to a 2.28% increase in circulation. Is this "token storm" a good opportunity to buy the dip or a risk signal? This article clarifies the key points.

Currently, SUI has a circulation of 3.25 billion tokens, and this unlocking accounts for 2.28%. The average daily trading volume is $3 billion, and the short-term selling pressure can be easily absorbed by the market. SUI has previously unlocked tokens multiple times, such as 263 million on January 2nd and 203 million in February, which did not trigger significant fluctuations, and the market has formed a "normalized" expectation. The unlocked tokens belong to the Sui Foundation, mainly for ecological construction, which may become a long-term catalyst for good.

Short-term risks: The foundation will release tokens in batches, and the actual amount flowing into the market may be lower than the estimated $3 billion daily trading volume, which is sufficient to absorb the $267 million selling pressure, but panic among retail investors may lead to a temporary sell-off.

In the long term: The Mysticeti V2 consensus mechanism will increase TPS to hundreds of thousands, and the Remora expansion plan will achieve unlimited scalability, attracting high-concurrency scenarios like DeFi and gaming, with TVL breaking through $1.6 billion, NFT trading volume surging, and a collaboration project with the Trump family going live, while the decentralized storage protocol Walrus fills the gap in blockchain storage.

If the price pulls back after unlocking, positions can be built in batches to avoid chasing highs. Long-term holders should pay attention to technological implementation (such as cross-chain interoperability and enterprise-level collaborations) and keep an eye on ETF application progress (Canary Capital has submitted a SUI ETF). Traditional funds entering may become a price catalyst.

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