Have you always thought:
"When the bull market comes, hurry and sell; when the bear market comes, buy the dip?"
"When Bitcoin rises to 100,000, it should be sold; when it drops to 50,000, it should be bought?"
In fact, these are all illusions!
One, the truth: bull markets and bear markets are only known in hindsight.
It's like when you go out and it suddenly rains; you can only say, "Today is a rainy day" in retrospect. During the process, you have no idea it will rain. Those who shout, "100,000 is the peak of the bull market," will regret selling too early if the price rises to 150,000 or 200,000.
Two, there are only two operations that can be controlled in the crypto world.
When to buy?
How much to buy and sell?
Other factors (like rise and fall times, amplitudes) are completely out of your control. Those who "precisely escape the peak" are 99% just lucky.
Three, the iron law of the crypto world: rapid rises and slow falls.
When prices rise, it feels like riding a rocket: Bitcoin went from 15,000 to 100,000, the real surge happened in just a few days; the rest of the time was in fluctuation. It’s like a bus suddenly starting; those who didn’t get on can never catch up.
When prices fall, it feels like a dull knife cutting meat: for example, now at 80,000, altcoins have already fallen by 70%, and may still drop another 50%. Every rebound makes you feel like "it's going to rise back", but in reality, you just keep sinking deeper.
Four, why does it drop so slowly?
The dealer sells like "slowly pouring water": they hold a huge amount of coins, and if they sell all at once, the price will plummet. So they can only sell a little every day, gradually releasing stock with positive news. It's like pouring water into a cup; each time you pour a little, the water surface fluctuates minimally.
Five, the deadly traps for beginners.
First bull market: made a 10x profit but couldn't bear to sell, always thinking "just wait a little longer".
Second bull market: sold after a 7x drop, comforting myself with "a small profit is a loss prevention".
Third bull market: ran away after a 5x rise, resulting in missing out on a subsequent 10x rally.
Six, survival rules for veterans.
Stay calm when prices rise: when there’s a rapid increase, know when to hold back.
Be vigilant when prices fall: every rebound is an opportunity to escape.
Train your "cut loss muscle": decisively sell even at a loss, and after losing 3 times, you will get used to it.
Seven, the truth of the market: it's all a trick.
Why do they always give you hope? Because the dealer needs someone to take over.
Why are there few sharp declines? Because they need to slowly release stock.
Why do you always lose money on altcoins? Because the main forces specialize in harvesting greedy people.
Remember: the market is always making money from human weaknesses (greed, fantasy). Only two types of people can make money:
Buy when no one cares, sell when everyone is crazy.
Strictly operating according to the rules like a veteran.
(Summary) The core of making money in the crypto world is not predicting rises and falls, but controlling your own hands. When prices rise, resist the urge to chase high; when prices fall, decisively avoid fantasies. This is the true way to survive.
