Diversification checks:Divide 100,000 into 5 portions (20,000 each) to avoid going all in
→ Principle:Prevent total loss from a single mistake, leaving enough 'bullets' for a comebackAveraging down on decline:Add 20,000 for every 10% drop to lower the cost
→ Advantages:For example, when 100 yuan drops to 50 yuan, after averaging down twice, the average cost is approximately 66 yuanProfit-taking on the rise:Sell 1 portion for every 10% increase to lock in profits
→ Example:If 100 yuan rises to 110 yuan and sells 20,000, the remaining position continues to aim for higher returns
Why can one make money?
Volatile market:When coin prices fluctuate up and down, repeatedly earn the difference through 'buy low and sell high'
Slow bull market:Coin prices rise over the long term, and each averaging down can lower the cost
Black swan defense:In extreme crashes, diversify to avoid total loss
Potential risks and improvement plans
Problem 1: 10% volatility threshold is too high
Current situation:Many coins fluctuate more than 10% in a single day, but the probability of consecutive increases or decreases of 10% is low
Consequences:May result in long-term holding without action, wasting capital efficiency
Improvements:
→ Switch to5% volatility to trigger trades(requires stricter discipline)
→ Place idle funds inBinance wealth management(annualized 4%-10%), to earn passive income
Problem 2: All-in single coin risk
Current situation:If the chosen coin goes to zero (like a scam coin), averaging down won't save it
Improvements:
→ Mainstream coins + potential coins combination(e.g., BTC + ETH accounts for 70%, small coins account for 30%)→ Regularly use 20% of profits to switch to more stable projects
Problem 3: Human weaknesses interfere
Current situation:Strategies may change due to fear/greed when averaging down
Improvements:
→ Write a trading plan in advance (e.g., 'must average down if drops 10%, must sell if rises 10%')
→ Useautomation toolsto execute trades (like investment bots)
Advanced skills for experts (from search results)
Hedging arbitrage:Earn fee differences across exchanges (requires programmatic operation)
Airdrop hunting:Participate in testnet tasks with multiple wallets to get free tokens
Trend following:Use moving averages to judge the overall direction (only average down during upward trends without selling)
Summary: A framework reusable by ordinary people
Capital safety:Always use idle money, keep enough for 6 months of living expenses
Diversification discipline:Single coin ≤ 30%, single loss ≤ 5% of total capital
Dynamic balance:Sell 10% of the position every quarter, switch to cash or low-risk assets
Continuous learning:Stay updated on policies and technological upgrades (such as Bitcoin ETF, Ethereum forks)
Final reminder:Your methods may work in the 2024 bull market, but uncertainty increases in the 2025 market (e.g., Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, regulatory tightening). It is advisable to adjust strategies based on macro analysis. True 'lying flat' is about establishing a replicable system, not relying on luck.
