April 28 BTC Strategy Summary

The current Bitcoin market presents a typical "institutional accumulation - retail exit" game pattern. Institutions continue to increase their holdings, pushing prices upward, but the trapped chips in the $95,000 area (sideways for over 2 months) form a strong resistance zone. A technical breakthrough will require 2-4 weeks to digest. #币安Alpha上新

Key Contradiction Point: $BTC

Capital Flow Divergence: The influx of ETF funds and the continuous short-selling by retail investors create a hedge, and market risk has not yet been concentrated. Macro Variable Disturbance: This week will welcome a crucial week for Federal Reserve decisions (ADP Employment/GDP/PCE/Non-Farm Payroll data released consecutively), and the current actual inflation pressure in the U.S. still exists (nearly a thousand e-commerce platform products rose 29% in a month).

Operating Suggestions:

① Main funds should adopt a "BTC base position + cash position" allocation, waiting for a breakthrough confirmation signal at the $95,000 resistance level.

② The short-term market is likely to maintain a volatile pattern, and one can participate in quality projects in the primary market during the pullback window (expected return space of 3-5 times).

③ Top Warning Indicator: When retail investors leverage to chase gains (such as entering through mortgages), be cautious of a temporary high point.

Note: The current market is in a special stage of "strong reality (institutional buying) vs weak expectation (retail caution)". A true trending market needs to wait for substantial improvements in inflation data or significant policy signal catalysts.

Wenxin Large Model X1T generated #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC