Brothers, what strange monsters and ghosts have we not seen in the crypto circle in recent years?
Recently, in this market, it's hard to be happy when it goes up, and hard to be happy when it goes down. Don’t you feel like you’re being manipulated by the market makers?
Don't panic! You are not alone! If you are currently in a state of loss.
So today, you must read this article carefully.
Current strange phenomena in the crypto circle:
Unknown altcoins are fluctuating wildly: Those coins you’ve never even heard of are rising faster than anyone else. Why? Because retail investors are afraid of going to zero and have already cut clean, leaving market makers with no pressure to push up prices!
Mainstream coins are stalling: You hold BTC, ETH, and want to run at the slightest rise, but hold on at the slightest fall. What's the result? You only make a little profit, but lose a lot!
Wake up! You fell into a pit!
First pitfall: Anchoring effect. (Just like an ex-girlfriend who was very attractive, no one can compare to her afterwards.)
Don’t keep staring at your buying price! The rise and fall of the coin price have nothing to do with how much you bought it for! For short-term, look at the popularity; for long-term, look at the fundamentals. Take profits and cut losses when necessary, don’t hesitate!
Second pitfall: Sunk cost. (Just like high-priced concert tickets, you want to watch but don’t understand, and you want to leave but are afraid of wasting it.)
If you lose, admit it! Don’t think about averaging down to lower costs. The more you average down, the more you lose, and you will only get deeper into the pit!
Third pitfall: Disposition effect. (Simply put, people run fast with small profits, but hold on desperately with losses.)
Scared to liquidate at a 10% rise, but playing dead at a 50% drop? This is a typical characteristic of retail investors! Remember to let profits run and cut losses in time!
What to do?
1. Don't look at the price, look at the trend:
Don’t be misled by prices; focus on market sentiment and fundamentals.
2. Be ruthless with stop losses, be steady with take profits:
If you lose, cut it off, don’t hesitate. If you make a profit, don’t rush to run, let the profit fly for a while.
3. Operate against human nature:
When others panic, I am greedy; when others are greedy, I panic.
🔥 Current market guide (2025 passive income version)
$BTC : Sideways fluctuation, it may surge next week, but 74000 is a hurdle; be careful if it breaks! Going all in? Don’t mess around, the risk is too high!
$BNB : Only with events will there be some movement. The Alpha points system is here, Monday airdrop for Sign, the threshold has not been announced yet; it’s best to keep 60 points. Both airdrop and new listing qualifications are based on this.
$ETH : Still stalling at a low position, the May upgrade is an opportunity. If it doesn’t rise after the upgrade? Then I’ll just treat it as nonsense!
Yesterday's important information:
1. Bitcoin has only risen 43.4% since the fourth halving, far below the market performance after the first three halvings.
2. Macroeconomic outlook for next week: Super data week is coming, non-farm payrolls and PCE will follow one after another.
Back to today's daily BTC technical analysis: From the K-line, the 1-hour level is weak, the 4-hour level is sideways, the 12-hour level is rising, and the daily level is rising. The intraday resistance is 97000, and the support is 91700 USD. If you have friends who bought below 80000, you can consider taking some profits now.
If you think I’m right, give me a thumbs up! If you have different opinions, let’s talk in the comments!
Disclaimer: Personal trading diary, not investment advice! This article carries a 50% counter-indicator Buff; don’t blame me if the market hits back.
