Hello Binance Square community,

I'm a bearish trader. For the past few days, I've been trading with a clear view of a market decline. However, after 20 consecutive days of bullish retracements amid a previous downtrend, I find myself in a situation that many traders are familiar with: I'm losing. But I don't give up; I'm learning, adapting, and sharing.

Today I want to reflect and contribute from my experience, with real data, technical analysis, and strategies you can consider if you find yourself in a similar situation.

Are we seeing a change in trend?

In this bullish pullback, many altcoins have exceeded returns of 50%, some even 200%.

In previous pullbacks, the averages barely exceeded 30%.

We've been on a bullish momentum for 20 days now, without a strong correction.

BTCDOM dominance is sideways, indicating that capital flow is not into Bitcoin, but into altcoins.

These factors do not 100% confirm a change in trend, but they are clear signs that market sentiment is turning.

As a bearish trader, what mistakes should I avoid repeating?

1. Insisting on shorts amid strong pullbacks.

Forcing trades contrary to the current market direction only increases losses.

2. Not having invalidation points.

3. Not accepting that the market changes.

It's not about stopping being bearish, but rather knowing when not to trade or when to wait for a better opportunity.

How many days must pass to confirm a change in trend?

Historically:

A minor pullback lasts 3 to 10 days.

A turnaround rally lasts 15 to 30 days.

We're on day 20. If the market holds steady and altcoins continue to gain market capitalization, we could be facing the start of a new bullish cycle.

Key recommendations for bearish traders in bullish environments:

Don't trade if the market is not in your favor.

Observe volume and structure. If the bearish pullbacks are weak, there is no selling force.

Rely on the BTCDOM and TOTAL3 indices to better understand capital flows.

Wait for overbought signals (RSI, divergences, key resistance zones).

Consider trading laterals or distribution zones if you're not ready to change your bias.

I will continue to share my process, my mistakes, my analysis, and my progress.

If you like this kind of real, human, and technical content:

Follow me, leave me a like, share this article with other traders, and if you want to support my work, you can leave me a tip. #BinanceAlphaAlert #BTCvsMarkets #MarketRebound #TrumpVsPowell #TradingSignals

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