📌 My take on the whole ALT game
• Checking TOTAL3 (all alts m-cap minus BTC & ETH). Follow-up to the 22 Apr video.
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1) Classic V-SHAPED reversal just like BTC did. First soft target (candle bodies only) is the $840-850 B zone. We’re at $820 B now. That’s the MINIMUM. When we tag it I’ll THINK about trimming a PART of the bag if I were buried—pure risk management so I can reload lower if things turn ugly.
2) If TOTAL3 closes & holds above $850 B, we open a potential DD leg toward $940-1 T. Most likely path IMO. I’ve been eyeing that $1 T retest forever; that’s where I decide whether to nuke the ENTIRE swing stack. Zero moves for me at 850 B, big decision at a trillion.
3) Weekly TF fib from the Dec top: love the fake-out under the yearly MA (yellow) and instant reclaim. Even if we never make a new high this cycle, price usually tags those three fib bands—$850 B, $900 B, $960-1 T—after bear-wave one.
🔶 CAPS = action points. My public bag’s green, so I won’t dump the first decent bounce. But if I were deep red I’d unload 30-40 % right in that $850 B box.