ETH/USDT Futures Analysis – April 25, 2025
Current Price: $1,775.20
24h High / Low: $1,790.50 / $1,722.90
Volume (ETH): 488,059.20
Volume (USDT): 857.85M
Timeframe Analyzed: 4H
Technical Indicators Overview
Moving Average (MA 9): $1,585.69
Arnaud Legoux MA (ALMA): $1,585.96
Interpretation: ETH has strongly broken above both MAs, showing short-term bullish momentum.
Average Sentiment Index (ASI 10): -5.108K
Interpretation: Still in negative territory, suggesting lingering bearish pressure from a longer trend, though flattening out.
Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 50.16
Interpretation: RSI is near the neutral zone. The current reading implies that ETH is neither overbought nor oversold—leaving room for a move in either direction.
Balance of Power (BoP): 0.56 (positive)
Interpretation: Buyers are currently in control. Combined with price above MA, this supports a continuation of bullish pressure.
ADX (Average Directional Index): 10
Interpretation: Weak trend strength. The price may need a stronger directional catalyst before a breakout or breakdown.
Recent Price Action
ETH bounced from a low of around $1,580 and pushed up strongly, touching a 24h high of $1,790.
This rally suggests a potential bottom may have been found, and ETH is trying to reclaim upward momentum.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: $1,790 (24h High). A break above could push price toward $1,850–$1,880.
Strong Resistance Zone: $1,900 psychological level and previous breakdown zone.
Support Level 1: $1,722 (24h Low).
Support Level 2: $1,585 (aligned with MA & ALMA).
Breakout Probability & Forecast
Bullish Breakout Probability: 65%
If ETH maintains above $1,750 with increasing volume and RSI trends toward 60+, a breakout toward $1,850–$1,900 is likely.
Bearish Breakdown Probability: 35%
If ETH loses $1,722 support, expect a correction back toward $1,650–$1,600. MA zones will act as strong testing levels.
Future Price Targets (Short-Term)
Bullish Scenario:
Target 1: $1,850
Target 2: $1,900
Extension: $1,950 (if BTC shows strength too)
Bearish Scenario:
Target 1: $1,650
Target 2: $1,600
Panic Zone: $1,540
Conclusion
ETH/USDT is currently showing signs of recovery, backed by MA crossover and positive BoP. However, low ADX and neutral RSI suggest a cautious approach. A strong move above $1,790 with volume confirmation could ignite a bullish leg toward $1,900+, but if ETH fails to hold $1,722, we may revisit the $1,600 zone.
Recommendation: Wait for confirmation above $1,790 before entering long. Set stop-loss just below $1,720. For shorts, a breakdown under $1,720 can be sold with a stop near $1,790.
