Powell might do this at the next FOMC meeting!

The Federal Reserve will hold a meeting from May 6 to 7!

President Trump has been pressuring Powell, both openly and privately, urging for interest rate cuts. Trump believes the U.S. economy is strong, and to maintain an advantage in global competition, interest rates need to be lowered. He even stated that if Powell does not cut rates immediately, the U.S. economy will slow down, and referred to Powell as a 'big loser,' which adds a lot of tension!

However, Powell has his own considerations; he certainly does not want to appear to be capitulating under political pressure. So I guess Powell will likely first talk about the recovery of the U.S. economy at the meeting. For example, the current employment data is quite good, the market is relatively stable, and inflation has also eased somewhat; these are all 'cards' in his hand.

With these 'cards,' Powell might find reasons for a small interest rate cut, probably just 0.25%. This approach can give the market a little sweetness, making it somewhat positive, while not appearing to be manipulated by Trump behind the scenes. Furthermore, Powell will definitely mention issues like tariffs and global risks, indicating that he makes decisions with caution and does not cut rates casually.

Overall, Powell is likely to convey this message: 'We are cutting rates because the economy is performing well and there are conditions for a rate cut, not because of political pressure.' This way, he can maintain his and the Fed's credibility while meeting the market's expectations for a rate cut, injecting a 'shot in the arm' for the market.

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