šØ $BTC Reclaims $90K ā DeadāCat Bounce?
Yesterdayās sharp rally saw Bitcoin crack back above the $90,000 markābut hereās why Iām calling it a classic deadācat bounce rather than a true breakout:
1. Weak Volume on Rally š
Todayās surge (140Ā KĀ BTC) barely topped the 5āday average (127Ā K) and stayed well below the 10āday average (158Ā K).
Low conviction means there arenāt enough fresh buyers to sustain a real uptrend.
2. Overbought Signals Everywhere ā ļø
RSI(4Ā hr & 1Ā hr) > 80 ā extreme overbought readings on multiple timeframes.
Price is 2.5Ā Ļ above the 20Ā SMA Bollinger upper bandāstatistically rare and ripe for mean reversion.
3. Liquidity Hunt Completed š±āš¤
Algos likely triggered stops in the $90.5Kā91.2K zone, sucking up bids in a shortāsqueeze.
Once those resting orders are gone, thereās nothing left to push price higher.
4. Macro Headwinds Are Looming šŖ
Fed minutes coming this week (MayĀ 15) could drive DXY strength and send risk assets lower.
US payrolls (MayĀ 2) and Core PCE (MayĀ 30) still on deckāplenty of reasons for volatility.
āļø Trade Plan: Short the Bounce
Entry: $91,000ā92,200 (after 1Ā hr candle closes back inside upper BB)
StopāLoss: $93,000 - 94000(invalidation above liquidity cluster)
TPĀ 1: $87,600 (midāband mean)
TPĀ 2: $85,400 (lower BB support)
Leverage: ā¤Ā 3Ć; scale out 50% at TPĀ 1 and trail to breakeven
š Key Takeaway: Reclaiming $90K looked impressive, but without volume and with overbought extremes, itās a textbook deadācat bounce. Watch for the snapāback toward the midābandāideal shorting opportunity!