Enhanced version of the BTC futures trend forecast for Apri | TraderMiningUk on Binance Square

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 Enhanced version of the BTC futures trend forecast for April 22, 2025 (from 5:00 AM to 8:00 AM UTC+7)Long/Short Ratio > 1.0 suggests more long positions; < 1.0 means short positions dominate.
#BinanceHODLerHYPER #BinanceAlphaAlert 
$BTC 

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❌ 4 “Deadly” Time Frames Traders Should Avoid on Binance – Don’t Catch the Falling Knife! Crypto markets run 24/7, but not all hours are good for trading. Here are 4 high-risk time frames that every Binance trader should avoid if they don’t want to see their account vanish into thin air: ⏰ 1. 00:00 – 01:00 UTC 🔧 Daily reset time – system lag, weird price spikes are common. ⚠️ Technical signals often unreliable. Easy to get trapped. 🌒 2. 03:00 – 05:00 UTC 💤 Market goes quiet – ultra low liquidity. 🐳 Whales can manipulate prices with just a few orders. 📉 3. 12:30 – 14:00 UTC 📊 Major US economic news releases (CPI, FOMC, etc.). 🎯 Volatility spikes before and after news. Easy to get wrecked without a clear plan. 📆 4. 16:00 – 22:00 UTC (Sundays) 😴 Weekend = low volume, high risk of fake pumps and dumps. 🔁 Perfect time for traps before Monday’s momentum kicks in. ✅ Quick Tips: • Avoid these 4 time frames, especially if you’re a beginner. • Focus on high-volume sessions (London – New York overlap). • Always check the economic calendar if you're trading USD-related pairs. 🧠 Trade smart, not emotional. Timing can be the difference between profit and panic! #trader #Write2Earn $BTC

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Bitcoin's Performance in April 2025 Early April price: ~$82,000 Price as of April 20: ~$87,500 Growth: Approximately 6.7% in 20 days Trading volume: Steadily increasing, particularly from institutional investors and ETF inflows Key reasons behind the surge: Massive inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs from institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts have led investors to seek hedge assets like gold and Bitcoin. A strong wave of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) as BTC approaches its all-time high near $90,000. Technical Analysis Resistance zone: $88,000–$90,000 Key support: $82,000 and stronger at $78,000 RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently around 65 – close to overbought, but not signaling a sharp reversal. MACD: The MACD line remains above the signal line, indicating sustained bullish momentum. If BTC breaks above $90,000 with high volume, short-term targets could extend to $96,000–$100,000. Fundamental Analysis Limited supply: Less than 2 million BTC remain to be mined from the capped supply of 21 million. Recent halving (April 2024): Historically, Bitcoin tends to surge 12–18 months post-halving, which aligns with the current bullish phase. Institutional confidence: Heavy accumulation from giants like BlackRock, MicroStrategy, and even traditional banks such as Fidelity. Global instability: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty make BTC a growing alternative to gold as a "defensive asset." Short & Medium-Term Forecasts Risks to Watch Technical corrections: A pullback toward $78K–$82K could occur before any further rally. Regulatory threats: Negative news from regulators like the SEC or the EU could stall momentum. Investor sentiment shifts: A stock market crash or unexpected financial crisis could shake confidence, even in crypto. $BTC #BinanceHODLerHYPER

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Bitcoin: Strong Momentum, Eyes on $100K In April 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) surged from around $82,000 to nearly $87,500, driven by bullish investor sentiment and increased inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. Robert Kiyosaki predicted BTC could reach $1 million by 2035, while short-term technical analysis suggests a possible breakout toward $90,000+ if resistance levels are breached. Source: Finance Magnates $BTC

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The political climate in the United States could significantly impact the cryptocurrency market in 2025, influenced by factors such as regulatory policies, government stance on blockchain innovation, and overall economic stability. Below is an analysis of potential influences: ### 1. **Regulatory Environment** - **Stricter Regulations:** If the U.S. government enforces tighter cryptocurrency regulations, such as stringent Know Your Customer (KYC) rules or higher taxes on crypto transactions, investor confidence may decline. This could lead to reduced trading volumes and hindered innovation within the crypto space. - **Pro-Crypto Policies:** Conversely, if the administration adopts a more favorable stance on digital assets, supporting blockchain research or providing clear regulatory frameworks, it could drive institutional investment and public adoption. ### 2. **Economic Stability and Monetary Policy** - **Interest Rates:** The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, influenced by broader economic conditions, could impact Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Higher interest rates might divert investments from riskier assets like crypto to safer options. - **Dollar Strength:** A weakening U.S. dollar, due to inflation or debt concerns, could increase interest in cryptocurrencies as alternative stores of value. ### 3. **Global Competition and U.S. Position in Crypto Leadership** - If the U.S. political landscape fosters innovation and crypto-friendly policies, it could strengthen its position as a leader in the global blockchain ecosystem. This would attract international projects and investments. - However, if the U.S. falls behind due to restrictive measures, countries like China or the EU could gain dominance, potentially marginalizing U.S.-based crypto firms.

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Suppose you want to calculate the probability that a trader A can win in a specific trade. You can use the method of analyzing the historical data of that trader: Collect the historical trading data of trader A. Determine the number of successful and failed trades. Calculate the success probability: P(win)=number of successful tradestotal number of tradesP(win) = \frac{\text{number of successful trades}}{\text{total number of trades}}P(win)=total number of tradesnumber of successful trades Detailed Formula Suppose: Trader A has conducted 1000 trades. Out of those, 600 trades were successful (win) and 400 trades failed (lose). The success probability of trader A is: P(win)=6001000=0.6 (or 60%)P(win) = \frac{600}{1000} = 0.6 \text{ (or 60\%)}P(win)=1000600=0.6 (or 60%) Application to More Complex Models If you want to model a more complex situation, you can apply models such as: Monte Carlo simulations to simulate multiple trading scenarios. Regression analysis to predict the probability of success based on multiple input factors. #binance #btc

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