Based on historical patterns and experience, if the market in the next 2.5 to 3.5 months is to challenge the previous high of 100,000 or even higher, the future price trends will exhibit the following characteristics:
● Range oscillation and repeated fluctuations: Prices will frequently exhibit false breakouts and false breakdowns in the range of 76400-89200, and within this range, there will be alternating patterns similar to this week's narrow sideways movement, small bullish candles pushing up, and small bearish candles easing down, creating confusing trends. Each phase is expected to last about 2 weeks.
● Eliminate negative impacts: It is necessary to eliminate the negative impacts of the daily MA60 and MA180 on price upward movement; during this period, price fluctuations will be limited, and the difficulty of operations will be higher, requiring investors to be mentally prepared.
● Support and resistance analysis: Short-term price fluctuations are not significant, and the resistance above and support below remain consistent with previous periods, requiring investors to patiently wait for opportunities.
This week's price operating range shows no significant changes, and the structural details have been previously described, so they will not be repeated here.
Recent key points are as follows:
● Short-term support: 83300 - 82800 (suitable for quick in-and-out operations), second support at 79500 - 76800 (short-term quick in-and-out).
● Weekly level points: 73800 - 71100 are low probability points, but orders can be placed; 65200 - 63200 exceeds the existing range, and regular fluctuations are difficult to reach, so idle funds can be used to place orders.
● Short to medium-term resistance: 88600 - 90400, if the price reaches this area and then pulls back to the 86800 - 85800 region, a short-term long position can be considered.
From the daily chart perspective, on April 7 and 9, the price showed a significant volume when bouncing back to the MA250 and recovering the MA250, which is typical behavior of major players, as retail investors usually do not show such high consistency during a downtrend. The small sideways lower bound starting from April 12 aligns with the high points of the massive bullish candle on the 9th, suggesting that the trend after the 12th will likely be a consolidation phase after major players suppress and accumulate. Considering these signals, there is a certain possibility for a subsequent rise.