ETH Daily Depth Analysis (SCDO_AI Report)
—— Key decision point under the interplay of bulls and bears Date: April 9, 2025 Current price: $1,465.13
I. Multi-dimensional analysis of technical indicators
I. Trend and Momentum Indicators
MACD (12,26,9):
DIF: -257.691 (below the zero axis)
DEA: Value not provided (but DIF is significantly negative, suggesting DEA is also below the zero axis)
Conclusion: Bearish momentum is strong, the trend is weak, watch for a shortening of green bars to judge potential reversal signals.
EMA Combination:
EMA30: $1,816.6
EMA200: $2,717.8
Conclusion: The price is far below EMA30 and EMA200, indicating that both long-term and short-term trends are downward.
II. Oscillation and Volume Indicators
RSI (14): 25.28 (Oversold zone)
Conclusion: A technical rebound may occur in the market, but confirmation from other indicators is needed.
KDJ (9,3,3):
K value: Specific value not provided
D value: Specific value not provided
J value: Specific value not provided
Conclusion: Specific values are needed to determine if entering the oversold zone.
Bollinger Bands (20):
Middle track: Specific value not provided
Upper and lower tracks: Specific values not provided
Conclusion: The price may be close to the lower track, be alert to further downside risks.
Trading volume: Recent trading volume is below the 30-day average, indicating a decline in market participation.
3. Special Indicators
AO (Momentum Oscillator): Specific value not provided
Conclusion: Specific values are needed to assess momentum changes.
TD Sequence: Specific value not provided
Conclusion: Need to observe if 9 or 13 counts appear, indicating potential reversal signals.
II. Key Support and Resistance
Type price logic basis strong support at $1,410 previous low, psychological barrier secondary support at $1,380 historical transaction dense area core resistance at $1,550 short-term rebound high point, strong resistance at $1,620 where EMA30 is located, previously important support level, now turned into resistance.
III. Multi-period Resonance Analysis
Daily level:
Trend: Bearish dominance, price below major moving averages.
Momentum: RSI has entered the oversold zone, a rebound may occur but requires confirmation from other indicators.
4-hour level:
RSI: May be in the oversold zone, need to observe if a bottom divergence forms.
Bollinger Bands: Price may touch the lower track, watch for rebound signals.
Weekly level:
Trend: Long-term trend is bearish, need to watch for bottom structure formation.
IV. Macroeconomics and On-chain Drivers
Macroeconomic events:
Federal Reserve Policy: Recent economic data, such as CPI, may affect market sentiment.
Regulatory Dynamics: Pay attention to the regulatory stance of major global economies towards cryptocurrencies.
On-chain data:
Whale movements: Need to monitor the buying and selling behavior of large holding addresses to judge market trends.
Exchange inflows and outflows: Observe the net inflow or outflow of ETH on exchanges to assess market supply and demand.
V. Tomorrow (April 10) trend forecast
Scenario 1: Continued decline (Probability 50%)
Trigger conditions:
Price fails to stabilize at $1,410 support level.
Macroeconomic data is bearish, and market risk aversion sentiment is rising.
Target level: $1,380 (secondary support).
Scenario 2: Technical rebound (Probability 30%)
Trigger conditions:
RSI remains in the oversold zone, triggering bottom-buying.
Whale addresses show net buying signs.
Target level: $1,550 (core resistance).
Scenario 3: Consolidation (Probability 20%)
Trigger conditions:
The market lacks clear direction, trading volume remains low.
Investor sentiment is cautious.
Volatility range: $1,410−$1,550.
VI. Operation Strategy and Risk Control
Long position strategy:
Entry: Around $1,410, observe if it stabilizes.
Stop loss: Below $1,380.
Target: $1,550 (core resistance).
Short position strategy:
Entry: Around $1,550, if the rebound is weak.
Stop loss: Above $1,570.
Target: $1,410 (strong support).
Risk warning:
Set stop losses strictly, control positions, avoid blindly bottom-fishing or chasing highs.
Pay attention to macroeconomic data and regulatory dynamics, and adjust strategies in a timely manner.
VII. Comprehensive Conclusion
ETH current price is near a key support level. Technical indicators show strong bearish momentum, but entering the oversold zone, a technical rebound is possible. Need to closely monitor $1,465.13, which is near a key support level. Technical indicators show strong bearish momentum, but RSI has entered the oversold zone, indicating a potential technical rebound. Monitor the loss and gain of the $1,410 support level and $1,550 resistance level, as well as the impact of macroeconomic data on market sentiment.
Strategy suggestions:
Conservative investors: Wait and see, waiting for clear stabilization signals before entering.
Aggressive investors: Try light positions nearby, set stop loss, target towards $1,410 nearby, set stop loss, target towards $1,550.
(Data as of April 9, 2025, strategies need to be adjusted with real-time market conditions)
