Next month Japan will raise interest rates, I don't know what other situations will arise.

Bitcoin Market Analysis and Trading Strategy

1. Current Market Background
- Technical Support: BTC retraced to around 74,000 yesterday, forming a key support level. The market generally views this as the bull-bear boundary. If it breaks down, it may trigger a deeper adjustment; conversely, it may continue the upward trend.
- Market Sentiment: After a short-term panic sentiment release, BTC rebounded to 79,000, showing that the bulls still have strong support.
- Correlation with U.S. Stocks: Recently, the cryptocurrency market's movements have been highly correlated with U.S. stocks (especially tech stocks). If U.S. stocks (like Nasdaq) rebound tonight, BTC might follow suit.

2. Key Levels
- Support Levels:
- 74,000 (previous high support, bull-bear boundary)
- 75,200 (short-term stop-loss reference)
- Resistance Levels:
- 81,000 (recent high point)
- 82,950 (target take-profit level, close to previous high pressure zone)

3. Trading Strategy
- Entry Range: 79,000-79,200
- Leverage: 10x (isolated margin mode)
- Position: 2-layer position
- Take Profit: 82,950
- Stop Loss: 75,238

1. Key Support is Valid: 74,000 not broken, market remains in a bull market structure, with a higher probability of a short-term rebound.
2. Reasonable Risk-Reward Ratio: Target profit 5%, stop loss 5%, risk-reward ratio 1:1, aligns with short-term trading logic.
3. Isolated Margin Mode: Controls single trade risk, avoiding total account liquidation.

⚠️ Risk Points:
1. Uncertainty in U.S. Stock Trends: If U.S. stocks do not rebound tonight (e.g., non-farm data exceeding expectations), BTC may face pressure.
2. High Leverage: 10x leverage can easily trigger stop losses in a volatile market, suggest monitoring the defensive strength around 75,200.
3. Short-term Overbought Potential: If it quickly rises to 81,000 and encounters resistance, it may pull back to 78,000 support.

- Conservative Strategy: If concerned about sudden spikes, wait for the 78,000-78,500 range to enter, lowering the stop loss to 74,500.
- Partial Take Profit: Reduce half of the position at 81,000, keep the remaining position targeting 82,950 to lock in some profits.
- Alternative Plan: If it breaks below 75,200, observe whether a head-and-shoulders structure forms before deciding whether to short.