🔴 The details that turned the tables

In a dramatic development in global economic relations, U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs of 34% on China, leading to a swift and firm reaction from Beijing with similar retaliatory tariffs, indicating that the two countries have entered a spiral of escalation that may be the most intense in the history of modern trade relations.

The recent escalation of the tariff war

Trump did not hesitate to escalate further, stating directly: "China has not responded to my warnings... And if it does not back down by tomorrow, we will raise tariffs to 104%." This threat goes beyond being a political maneuver to become a clear declaration of the U.S. readiness to go far in this economic confrontation.

The crisis has not been limited to China alone; it has extended to include America's northern partners, as Canada and Mexico have entered the fray, announcing their plans to respond to Trump's trade measures.

Practical steps that have already begun

  • Since yesterday, the tariffs promised by Trump have come into effect:

  • 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico

  • 10% on imports from China

  • These tariffs mean a direct increase in prices for products coming from these countries to the U.S. market, placing an additional burden on American companies and consumers.

Illustrative example

If a Canadian company exports a car worth $100,000 to the U.S. market, the new 25% tariff will make its cost to the U.S. importer $125,000. This increase will ultimately be passed on to the American consumer in the form of higher prices.

The strategy behind Trump's decisions

Trump's motivations for imposing these tariffs can be understood through two main axes, despite raising prices for American citizens.

  1. Long-term market restructuring... Encouraging consumers to buy alternative American products...

    Encouraging foreign companies to relocate their factories to within the United States

    The ultimate goal is to boost the local economy, create more job opportunities, and reduce dependence on foreign supply chains

  2. Using tariffs as a political pressure tool

    Against Canada and Mexico: to renegotiate the terms of current trade agreements

    Against China: to exert pressure in other areas such as preventing drug trafficking (fentanyl)

    Addressing non-commercial issues: such as illegal immigration through the use of economic pressure

International reactions

The affected parties did not delay in responding to the U.S. measures:

Canada: imposed a 25% tariff on U.S. imports as a retaliatory measure

Mexico: announced its intention to take similar measures in response to U.S. decisions

China: Beijing has taken a multidimensional strategy in its response:

  • First: direct tariff measures

    Imposing a 34% tariff on American goods

    Halting imports of specific American agricultural products such as sorghum, poultry, and bone meal

  • Second: deeper strategic restrictions

    Imposing a ban on the export of certain rare earth metals effective April 4

    Listing 16 American companies on the export control list

    Targeting technology companies that produce components with dual uses (civil and military)

  • The most prominent prohibited products

  1. Electronic chips used in civilian and military devices

  2. Encryption software for sensitive data

  3. Dual-use communication equipment

China justifies these measures as protecting its national security and preventing the leakage of advanced technologies that could be used to develop weapons or support countries it considers hostile.

What is on Trump's mind - the numbers reflect a reality that explains Trump's hardline stance

Canada: heavily relies on the U.S. market, where 76% of its exports go to America, representing 19% of its GDP

Mexico: more dependent, as its exports to America account for 78% of its total exports and represent 37% of its GDP

The United States: its exports to Canada and Mexico account for only 2.7% of its GDP

This disparity in interdependence gives Washington leverage in negotiations, as the potential damage to its trade partners far exceeds the harm to the U.S. economy.

The current scene and future prospects

The current situation witnesses intensive use of maximum pressure tactics from all parties:

The United States: using tariffs and the threat of further escalation

China: combining export restrictions with diplomatic moves (filing a complaint with the World Trade Organization)

Canada and Mexico: adopting a policy of reciprocity despite being more affected

As this escalation continues, the question remains: Will this conflict lead to a reshaping of the global trade map, or will the parties manage to reach settlements that spare the world the consequences of a full-scale trade war? The coming months will be crucial in determining the course of this crisis and its implications for the global economy.

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