❗️ABR - scenario ❗️
1. Timeframe: 60 minutes (1h)
• Price: 0.3021
• Local bottom: 0.2935
• Upper level: 0.3246
• Currently, a descending channel is forming, the price has broken down through the 0.3033 zone
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2. Volumes and moving averages:
• VOL is low, activity is weak
• MA5 is below MA10 — a sign of continued weakness
• The last 6–8 candles — lower highs and lower lows
This indicates that the seller is in control
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3. Movement scenarios:
Bearish (main scenario now):
• The price may continue to slide towards the 0.2935–0.2950 zone
• If it breaks 0.2935 — the next target is 0.2880–0.2850
• Without volume and buyer demand — a rebound above is unlikely
Bullish (alternative):
• Only if it quickly returns above 0.3050 and holds
• Then a rebound to 0.3140–0.3170 might occur, but an impulse and volume are needed
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Conclusion:
At the moment, the price is more likely to go down
• Until volume and a reversal candle appear, it is better not to catch the “bottom”
• Key support zone — 0.2935
• There one can expect market reaction, a possible rebound or breakthrough
