SOL is playing high-altitude tightrope walking today! The life-and-death line at $125 appears as a long and short meat grinder
SOL's five-minute line is stuck at $125.19, thrillingly teetering, with the lower Bollinger Band at $123.29 being welded shut by a market maker. The MACD shows a dead cross under water, sticky as can be, with the DIF line at -$0.18 being pressed down by the DEA line at $0.04. The bears seem to control the market but the green bars are shrinking down to -5.8, like a fist stuck in cotton, unable to exert force. The Bollinger Band mouth is narrower than a needle's eye, with the upper band firmly welded at $143 and the lower band hanging with three million liquidation orders at $124.58; if a needle is inserted at this position, it will definitely trigger a stampede.
Market hardcore analysis: whale sell-off hides secrets
A big thunder just exploded on-chain — a certain whale dumped 60,000 SOL (worth $7.5 million) early in the morning, directly shattering market confidence. However, the CME Ethereum futures open interest increased by 7% against the trend, and the market maker’s tactics are smooth, openly building a path while secretly laying traps. Two key levels to watch: the upper level at $143 is a weekly chip accumulation zone; if it stabilizes, it can ignite FOMO sentiment; the lower level at $124.58 has 126,000 liquidation chips; breaking it directly leads to the psychological level of $120. The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance combined with Trump's tariff maneuver has evaporated 15% of DeFi liquidity, but PAXG and XAUT, gold-pegged tokens, are rising against the trend, indicating that smart money is beginning to hedge risks.
Operation manual: Better to be clumsy than to be cannon fodder
Do not manually add positions at $122-$125 now, aim to place limit orders 5% below $120 for bottom fishing. The market maker's script is highly likely to first break $124.58 to blow up the bulls, then pull back to $143 to harvest the bears. Brothers with over 50% position remember: place stop-loss hedges near the current price of $125, as the weekly triangle convergence is at its end. The market maker is holding two nuclear bombs — a volume drop below $120 leads to a bear market, while a false drop followed by a violent rise leads to a super bull market. I have placed 30% of my bullets on a breakout order at $143, waiting for 40% at $120 to catch falling knives, leaving 30% to guard against black swans.
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