I wish retailers could understand how important this data is… The below post is shared by Truflation on X.

🚨 Where is Bitcoin Headed Next? A Signal based on Truflation Real-Time Data.🪙

1/ Since mid-2023, there has been a pattern between Truflation and BTC price action — and it’s playing out again right now 👀

2/ The Context: Post-COVID, the Fed hiked rates to tame inflation. By mid-2023:

- Truflation bottomed at 2% (June) and the BLS CPI bottomed at 3% (July). Yes, Truflation led the CPI by 45 days.

- Markets started asking: 👉 “Has inflation dropped enough for rate cuts?”

3/ Since then, Truflation has moved like this:

Jun 2023–Jun 2024: range between 2.3–3.4%

Sept 2024–March 2025: fell to as low as 1.30%

And here’s where it gets interesting:

📉 Every time Truflation downtrended and then paused or reversed

📈 BTC followed with a rally shortly after

4/ Let’s look at the pattern:

1️⃣ Sept 28–Oct 10 → BTC rallied shortly after

2️⃣ Oct 29–Nov 13 → BTC rallied shortly after

3️⃣ Dec 01–Jan 06 → BTC rallied shortly after

4️⃣ May 31–Sept 16 → BTC rallied shortly after

🆕 Now: Jan 18 → March 12 2025

Truflation fell again: 3.10% → 1.30% 📉. And it looks like we are having a pause/reversal…

Will BTC follow? 📈

5/ Why does this happen?

Because Bitcoin is:

✔️ Forward-looking

✔️ Sensitive to liquidity

✔️ A proxy for rate cuts anticipation

When Truflation shows disinflation: 👉 “The Fed target is coming — maybe done tightening”

When that disinflation slows: 👉 “Soft landing ahead” → risk-on mood → BTC rally

6/ Think of it this way:

🔺 Inflation rising → Fed hawkish → risk-off → BTC bearish

🔻 Steep disinflation → uncertainty (recession fears) → BTC mixed

🧘 Disinflation slowing (relief) → soft landing hopes → BTC bullish ✅

We’re in that last zone again — the historical BTC launchpad 📈

7/ Institutions use Truflation granular data to front-run CPI, stay ahead of the Fed, and read market sentiment before others.