Is the death cross coming on $BTC just before the halving? 💀
The daily chart of #BTC/USD is showing very clear signals: the 50-period EMA continues to decline sharply and is dangerously close to the 200 EMA, which has already flattened. If the current pace continues, we would be seeing a confirmed death cross between April 16 and April 22, that is, just before Bitcoin's halving.
Historically, in previous cycles (2012, 2016, and 2020), this technical pattern has repeated:
Death cross before the halving → fear → accumulation → explosive post-halving rally.
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Where could the real bottom be?
Based on price structure, moving averages, key levels, and volume:
• Optimal accumulation zone: $78,500 – $76,000
• Possible capitulation wick: $75,000 or even $73,500
• This area coincides with previous technical supports and is psychologically strong for the entry of smart money.
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What can we expect?
• If the cross is confirmed before the halving, it is very likely to provoke a last bearish or sideways move that could scare retail.
• But if the historical pattern repeats, that zone will represent a great opportunity for accumulation before the post-halving launch.
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Conclusion
Everything points to April being a decisive month for Bitcoin:
A technical bearish cross… but at a time when the fundamental (halving) remains extremely bullish.
History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes. And this rhyme is being written in real time.