老玖
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Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision + Powell's Speech, My Views
Tomorrow at 2 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce the latest interest rate decision. The market generally agrees that the rates will remain unchanged, but the real key point is at 2:30, as Powell's speech will be the core determinant of market direction.
In the past few days, I have been observing market sentiment, and many people are speculating: Has the rate hike cycle really ended? Will rate cuts be delayed? The answer is actually quite simple— the market has already started to price in rate cuts, but the Fed's attitude determines how fast this pace will be.
🔹 If Powell is dovish (bullish):
If he hints that "rate cuts are definitely coming this year," market sentiment will further heat up, liquidity expectations will improve, and BTC is likely to challenge $70,000 again, with ETH following suit. Personally, I am relatively optimistic about this, as the recent adjustments in the market have already digested some uncertainties.
🔹 If Powell is hawkish (bearish):
Conversely, if he continues to emphasize that "high rates will be maintained longer," or even shows concern about inflation, then the crypto market will face pressure in the short term, especially altcoins, which may experience panic sell-offs. At this time, mainstream funds may seek safety, and BTC could temporarily retrace to the $63,000-$65,000 range.
🔹 If the Fed unexpectedly releases a stronger signal (extreme case):
If the Fed suddenly shifts its stance and suggests that "there will be no rate cuts before 2025," the market volatility will be greater. At that point, BTC may directly test $60,000, and altcoins will undoubtedly see significant corrections.
💡 My strategy?
I will not significantly increase my positions before the Fed's decision, as there is still short-term risk. However, if the market experiences a brief panic sell-off, I would prefer to buy the dip in core assets like BTC and ETH. After all, the starting point of every major market movement often lies in the moments when the market is most hesitant.
The market is dynamic, and sentiment can change, but true opportunities are always reserved for those who are patient. What do you think?
#美国加征关税 #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？ #BNBChainMeme热潮
Tomorrow at 2 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce the latest interest rate decision. The market generally agrees that the rates will remain unchanged, but the real key point is at 2:30, as Powell's speech will be the core determinant of market direction.
In the past few days, I have been observing market sentiment, and many people are speculating: Has the rate hike cycle really ended? Will rate cuts be delayed? The answer is actually quite simple— the market has already started to price in rate cuts, but the Fed's attitude determines how fast this pace will be.
🔹 If Powell is dovish (bullish):
If he hints that "rate cuts are definitely coming this year," market sentiment will further heat up, liquidity expectations will improve, and BTC is likely to challenge $70,000 again, with ETH following suit. Personally, I am relatively optimistic about this, as the recent adjustments in the market have already digested some uncertainties.
🔹 If Powell is hawkish (bearish):
Conversely, if he continues to emphasize that "high rates will be maintained longer," or even shows concern about inflation, then the crypto market will face pressure in the short term, especially altcoins, which may experience panic sell-offs. At this time, mainstream funds may seek safety, and BTC could temporarily retrace to the $63,000-$65,000 range.
🔹 If the Fed unexpectedly releases a stronger signal (extreme case):
If the Fed suddenly shifts its stance and suggests that "there will be no rate cuts before 2025," the market volatility will be greater. At that point, BTC may directly test $60,000, and altcoins will undoubtedly see significant corrections.
💡 My strategy?
I will not significantly increase my positions before the Fed's decision, as there is still short-term risk. However, if the market experiences a brief panic sell-off, I would prefer to buy the dip in core assets like BTC and ETH. After all, the starting point of every major market movement often lies in the moments when the market is most hesitant.
The market is dynamic, and sentiment can change, but true opportunities are always reserved for those who are patient. What do you think?
#美国加征关税 #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？ #BNBChainMeme热潮
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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