FTX’s Solana (SOL) Unlock: What to Expect on March 1, 2025
The crypto market is gearing up for a significant event on March 1, 2025, as 11.2 million Solana (SOL) tokens are set to be unlocked from the FTX bankruptcy auction. With institutional giants like Galaxy Digital, Pantera Capital, and Figure involved, this unlock could impact Solana’s market dynamics. Let’s dive into the key details and the unrealized profits these firms stand to gain at $130 per SOL.
Who Bought the Locked SOL?
During FTX’s bankruptcy proceedings, 41 million SOL tokens were auctioned to institutional investors at discounted prices:
Galaxy Digital – 25.52 million SOL at $64 per SOL
Pantera Capital – 13.67 million SOL at $95 per SOL
Figure – 1.8 million SOL at $102 per SOL
These tokens follow a four-year vesting schedule, with the March 1, 2025 unlock releasing 11.2 million SOL proportionally to each buyer.
How Much SOL Will Each Firm Unlock?
Galaxy Digital: ~6.96 million SOL (62.2% of the total)
Pantera Capital: ~3.73 million SOL (33.3%)
Figure: ~0.49 million SOL (4.4%)
Unrealized Profits at $130 per SOL
At $130 per SOL, here’s what each firm stands to gain:
✅ Galaxy Digital (Bought at $64, unlocking 6.96M SOL)
Profit per SOL: $66
Total Unrealized Profit: $459.36M
✅ Pantera Capital (Bought at $95, unlocking 3.73M SOL)
Profit per SOL: $35
Total Unrealized Profit: $130.55M
✅ Figure (Bought at $102, unlocking 0.49M SOL)
Profit per SOL: $28
Total Unrealized Profit: $13.72M
💰 Total Unrealized Profit: $603.63M
If these firms decide to sell immediately at $130 per SOL, this will be their potential profit from the March 1 unlock alone.
How Will This Impact Solana’s Market?
With over $600 million in unrealized profits, the big question is: Will these firms sell immediately, creating selling pressure?
Historically, large token unlocks can cause market volatility, but a price drop isn't guaranteed—especially if there’s enough buying demand to absorb the newly unlocked supply.
Will Solana Absorb the Impact?
Solana’s market reaction will depend on:
1️⃣ Institutional selling behavior – Will they sell immediately or hold?
2️⃣ Market demand – Can buyers absorb the supply?
3️⃣ Overall market sentiment – Bullish or bearish conditions?
As March 1, 2025, approaches, all eyes will be on how these institutional holders react.
📢 What’s your take? Will this unlock trigger a dip, or will Solana absorb it smoothly? Share your thoughts!