#CoinInsights

This Friday, the core PCE data for January is about to be released, undoubtedly the focus of the market's attention. Core PCE is considered one of the most important inflation data for the Fed. Compared to CPI and unemployment rate, it can more accurately and delicately reflect the true state of the US economy. Once this data shows a downward trend, the market's tense nerves may relax, and investors' sentiment will significantly improve. In addition, when discussing inflation issues in the US, the situation of the Russia-Ukraine war is also a key factor that cannot be ignored. From the current situation, there is a certain possibility of a ceasefire in March. If this positive vision can come true, it will undoubtedly be a major positive news for the market. Because a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire can greatly alleviate the inflation pressure in the US, and even potentially offset the negative impact of Trump's tariff policies, which is extremely favorable for the Fed's future interest rate cuts. Once the expectation of interest rate cuts significantly increases, the market is unlikely to experience a decline, but may instead usher in new development opportunities.

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From the perspective of market sentiment analysis, it has already entered an extreme state, most likely approaching the bottom area. Looking at the turnover rate and trading volume, the turnover rate is at an extremely low level, and the trading volume is continuously decreasing, clearly indicating that the market has entered the so-called 'garbage time' low point. In this situation, most investors choose to hold and wait, unwilling to easily participate in trading. The entire market is eagerly awaiting, waiting for the Fed to start massive liquidity injections and balance sheet expansion, while also closely monitoring when the Strategic Reserve Act will be officially implemented.