1. Core Trading Skills
1. Strict risk management
Position control: The position of a single transaction should not exceed 1%-5% of the total funds to avoid liquidation caused by heavy positions.
Stop loss must be set: clearly define the stop loss point before entering the market (such as 2%-3% below the support/resistance level), and exit the market decisively when the loss reaches the expected level.
Optimize the profit and loss ratio: strive for a profit and loss ratio of at least 1:2 (such as stop loss 1%, take profit 2%).
2. Technical analysis is the main
Key K-line patterns: Pay attention to reversal signals such as hammer lines, engulfing patterns, and dojis, and confirm them with trading volume.
Support and resistance levels: Use previous highs/lows, moving averages (such as EMA20/50), and Fibonacci retracement lines to determine key points.
Indicator combination:
MACD: Golden Cross/Dead Cross combined with zero axis to judge the trend strength.
·RSI: Look for reversal opportunities in the overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) areas. Bollinger Bands: When the price touches the upper and lower bands, combine the narrowing/opening to determine the fluctuation direction.
3. Trend following strategy
Follow the big trend and go against the small trend: when the trend is clear at the daily or 4-hour level, enter the market after a short-term correction (such as going long on EMA20 in an upward trend).
Breakout trading: follow up when the price breaks through key resistance/support, and confirm the effectiveness with large volume.
4. Market sentiment and news
Fear Greed Index: Extreme emotions (such as extreme greed) may foreshadow reversals.
Emergencies: interest rate decisions, contract liquidation data, exchange dynamics, etc. may trigger sharp short-term fluctuations.
2. Efficient short-term strategy
1. Band sniping method
On the 15-minute or 1-hour chart, combine the MACD and RSI indicators to capture the end point of a pullback in a trend.
For example: In an uptrend, go long when the price retraces to EMA50 and RSI rebounds from the oversold zone.
2. Breakthrough strategy
· Observe the consolidation pattern (such as triangle, box), enter the market when the price breaks out, and set the stop loss outside the edge of the pattern.
Prevention of false breakthroughs: Wait for the closing price to confirm the breakthrough to avoid chasing highs and selling lows.
3. High-frequency arbitrage
Use price spreads or funding rate differences between exchanges for hedging (suitable for those with experience in programmatic tools).
3. Psychology and Discipline
1. Avoid Overtrading
Set a daily limit on the number of transactions (e.g. 3 times) to reduce emotional operations.
2. Profit-taking discipline
·Segmented stop profit: After the profit reaches 50%, move the stop loss up to the cost line, and the remaining positions follow the trend.
3. Review summary
Record the reasons for entering and the results of each transaction, and analyze errors (such as going against the trend, not being firm in stop loss).
IV. Risk Warning
Use leverage with caution: High leverage (such as more than 20 times) will amplify volatility, and it is recommended that novices use ≤ 10 times.
Black swan defense: Under extreme market conditions, liquidity dries up and stop losses may become ineffective, so avoid holding positions overnight.
Simulation verification: New strategies are tested in simulation for 1-2 weeks before being put into real trading.
Summary: The core of short-term contract trading is fast, accurate, and stable: quick decision-making, accurate entry, and steady discipline. Only by continuously learning market rules and maintaining a respectful attitude can you survive in the long-term game. #短线交易 $BTC
