This is a picture from a few months ago

At first glance, it does make some sense.

Judging from the past three bull markets, we can’t find anything wrong with it.

But if you look closely, according to this picture, it means: The bull market has now begun!

The first wave of bull market peaked from January to December 2013 (lasted for one year)

The second wave of bull market was from August 2015 to December 2017 (lasting 2 years and 4 months)

The third wave is from March 2020 to November 2021 (1 year and 8 months)

According to the above data, we can continue to analyze and get more information

Because the halving time of BTC has a clear cycle, the three waves of bull market are also driven by the halving.

Then based on the historical market conditions of the three major bull markets, we can determine the high points of the three bull markets and how long they are apart.

Once you get this data, you can know and predict:

The next bull market will probably peak at a certain time!

The high point of the first bull market in 2013: $1,175

The high point of the second wave of the bull market in 2017: $19,891

The high point of the third wave of bull market in 2021: $68,958

The first wave of bull market and the second wave of bull market: time difference is 1491 days, price difference: 16 times

The second wave of bull market and the third wave of bull market: time difference is 1431 days, price difference: 2.46 times

Comparing the time and space of the previous three bull markets, the time difference between the high points of each wave is around 1,400 days.

The price gap is shrinking. The reason is that the cost of BTC mining machines is increasing, the quantity of output is getting smaller, and the market value is growing. Therefore, it is normal for its increase to shrink with each wave. What about the next bull market? It’s hard to say the high point. The probability of the increase exceeding the previous wave is very low. The high point of the second wave is 19,891 US dollars. Compared with the third wave high point of 68,958 US dollars, the difference is: 246%

Then combined with the time, space, and price comparison of the past three waves of bull markets, a comprehensive analysis

The high point price of the fourth wave of the bull market is estimated to be around US$137,916-153,776

The peak time of the fourth wave of the bull market is estimated to be around September 2025

The above analysis only represents my personal views and does not represent any investment advice.

Because there will be a bull market in four years, everyone is looking forward to it. Everyone’s capital, technology, and opinions are different.

So if you want to grasp this big trend, you need to make more preparations.